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Home price growth continued to slow in September, growing at a rate just below 4% year-over-year. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (seasonally adjusted – SA) posted a 3.89% annual gain, down from a 4.28% increase in August. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI year-over-year rate has decelerated for the seventh consecutive month, peaking at 6.54% in February 2024. Meanwhile, the Federal Housing Finance Agency Home Price Index (SA) grew at a rate of 4.36%, stagnant from the previous month.  

By Metro Area

In addition to tracking national home price changes, the S&P CoreLogic Index (SA) also reports home price indexes across 20 metro areas. Compared to last year, all 20 metro areas reported a home price increase.  There were 11 metro areas that grew more than the national rate of 3.89%. The highest annual rate was New York at 7.55%, followed by Cleveland at 7.13% and Chicago at 6.94%. The smallest home price growth over the year was seen by Denver at 0.22%, followed by Tampa at 0.99%, and Portland at 1.07%. 

By Census Division 

Monthly, the FHFA Home Price Index (SA) publishes not only national data but also data by census division. The highest year-over-year rate for September was 7.10% in the Middle Atlantic division, while the lowest was 1.16% in the West South Central division. Most divisions saw an increase from last month as shown in the chart below except for the West South Central and East North Central divisions. The FHFA Home Price Index releases their metro and state data on a quarterly basis, which NAHB analyzed in a previous post. 

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Private residential construction spending fell 0.3% in August, according to the Census Construction Spending data. Nevertheless, it remained 2.7% higher compared to a year ago.

The monthly decline in total private construction spending for August was largely due to reduced spending on single-family and multifamily construction. Spending on single-family construction fell by 1.5% in August. This marks the fifth consecutive monthly decrease. The rising new single-family home inventory and expectations for lower interest rates both weight on new home building. Despite these challenges, spending on single-family construction was still 0.8% higher than it was a year earlier.

Multifamily construction spending inched down 0.4% in August after a dip of 0.3% in July. Year-over-year, spending on multifamily construction declined 7.5%, as an elevated level of apartments under construction is being completed. Private residential improvement spending increased 1% in August and was 9.4% higher than a year ago.

The NAHB construction spending index is shown in the graph below (the base is January 2000). The index illustrates how spending on single-family construction has slowed since early 2024 under the pressure of elevated interest rates. Multifamily construction spending growth has also slowed down after the peak in July 2023. Meanwhile, improvement spending has increased its pace since late 2023.

Spending on private nonresidential construction was up 3.6% over a year ago. The annual private nonresidential spending increase was mainly due to higher spending for the class of manufacturing ($36.4 billion), followed by the power category ($8.8 billion).

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Private residential construction spending was down 0.3% in June, after a dip of 0.7% in the prior month, according to the Census Construction Spending data. Nevertheless, it remained 7.3% higher compared to a year ago.

The monthly decline in total private construction spending for June was largely due to reduced spending on single-family construction. Spending on single-family construction fell by 1.2% in June, following a dip of 0.6% in May. This marks the third consecutive monthly decrease. Elevated mortgage interest rates have cooled the housing market, dampening home builder confidence and new home starts. Despite this, spending on single-family construction was still 9.9% higher than it was a year earlier.

Multifamily construction spending inched up 0.1% in June after a dip of 0.6% in May. Year-over-year, spending on multifamily construction declined 7.4%, as an elevated level of apartments under construction is being completed. Private residential improvement spending increased 0.6% in June and was 10.4% higher compared to a year ago.

The NAHB construction spending index is shown in the graph below (the base is January 2000). The index illustrates how spending on single-family construction and home improvements have slowed down the pace since early 2024 under the pressure of elevated interest rates. Multifamily construction spending growth slowed down after the peak in June 2023.

Spending on private nonresidential construction was up 4.2% over a year ago. The annual private nonresidential spending increase was mainly due to higher spending for the class of manufacturing ($37.6 billion), followed by the power category ($13 billion).

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This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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