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The homeownership rate for those under the age of 35 dropped to 37% in the third quarter of 2024, reaching the lowest level since the first quarter of 2020, according to the Census’s Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS). Amidst elevated mortgage interest rates and tight housing supply, housing affordability is at a multidecade low. The youngest age group, who are particularly sensitive to mortgage rates, home prices, and the inventory of entry-level homes, saw the largest decline among all age categories.

The U.S. homeownership rate held steady at 65.6% in the third quarter of 2024, showing a flat trend over the last three quarters.  However, this marks the lowest rate in the last two years. The homeownership rate remains below the 25-year average rate of 66.4%.

The national rental vacancy rate went up to 6.9% for the third quarter of 2024, and the homeowner vacancy rate inched up to 1%. The homeowner vacancy rate remains close to the survey’s 67-year low of 0.7%.

Homeownership rates declined across all age groups compared to a year ago, except for those aged 55-64. Householders under 35 experienced the largest drop, declining by 1.3 percentage points from 38.3% to 37%. The 45-54 age group also saw a 1.3 percentage point decrease, decreasing from 71% to 69.7%. For householders aged 35-44, who experienced a modest 0.6 percentage point decline. Among those 65 years and over, homeownership inched down slightly from 79.2% to 79.1%. In contrast, the homeownership rate of the 55–64 age group rose to 75.9% from 75.4%.

The housing stock-based HVS revealed that the count of total households increased to 132.1 million in the third quarter of 2024 from 130.3 million a year ago. The gains are largely due to gains in both renter household formation (1.1 million increase), and owner-occupied households (655,000 increase).

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The homeownership rate for multigenerational households increased by 4.9 percentage points (pp) over the last decade, but there’s another household type that experienced an even larger increase in the homeownership rate over the same period—single parent households.

In further analysis of the Census’s American Community Survey (ACS) data, NAHB dives deeper into the homeownership rate for other family household types: married couples with no children, married couples with children and single parent households. In 2022, most family households were married with no children (44%), followed by married with children (26%), single parents (12%), others (12%), and multigenerational families (6%). This composition has not changed much, with the exception of a gradual decrease in the share of married with children and single parent households, which is offset by an increase in the share of married with no children households.

The homeownership rate for single parent households saw the largest gains in homeownership rate with an increase of 5.7 percentage points over the decade. However, the overall level of homeownership rate for single parent households remains the lowest among all other family household types at just 41%.    Another group that saw a large increase was the married couple with children households, with a 4.5% increase over the decade from 73% to 78%. Like multigenerational households, these increases were spurred on by historically low mortgage rates in 2021.

The only household type to have plateaued was married without children. As a matter of fact, these households saw decreasing homeownership rates for a few years before creeping back up to be at roughly the same rate as they were ten years ago at 84%. Nonetheless, married without children households remain as the group with the highest homeownership rate with an average rate of 84% over the decade.

We also examined the estimated home price-to-income ratio (HPI) for various household types. To calculate the home prices for recent homebuyers we used the median property value for owners who moved into their property within the past year. Here is where we see the effect of how multigenerational households were able to lower their HPI with pooled income and budgets. In contrast are single parent households with their estimated home prices approaching five times their income, indicating that these households are significantly burdened by housing costs.   

Given that homeownership rates jumped in recent years for most household types despite increases in home prices suggests that the low mortgage rates in 2021 made steep home prices more palatable for homebuyers to enter the market. However, it is unlikely that we’ll see a continued increase in homeownership while mortgage rates remain elevated. 

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The homeownership rate for multigenerational households surpassed that of all other family household types in 2022 and now stands at 74.2%, exceeding the homeownership rate of other family households of 73.9%. Just a decade ago, the homeownership rate for multigenerational stood at 69.3%, second to other family households at 71.3%.

Multigenerational households are defined by the Census Bureau as households with three or more generations living together. In this post, NAHB used the American Community Survey (ACS) 1-year estimates from 2012 to 2022 to estimate the homeownership rates (which is calculated as the total number of owner-occupied units divided by the total number of applicable households) for different household types.

In 2012, the homeownership rate for multigenerational households stood at 69.3%, 2 percentage points (pp) below the 71.3% homeownership rate for other family households. The gap in homeownership rates between these household types remained with higher rates for other family households until 2021. By 2022, the gap inverted with 74.2% of multigenerational households owning homes versus 73.9% of other family households. This represents about a 5 pp increase in homeownership rate for multigenerational households over the decade compared to a 2.6 pp increase for other family households.

The primary factor that explains the rise in the multigenerational household homeownership rate is the availability of more capital during the period of low interest rates in 2021. While the median family income for multigenerational households consistently exceeds that of other family households’ income due to resource pooling, this difference has widened over time. For example, real median income for multigenerational households and other family households in 2012 were $63,643 and $62,633, respectively, with a difference of about $1,000. By 2022, this difference widened almost twelvefold to $11,778, with multigenerational households earning $103,501 and other family households earning $91,723.

Changes in family structure can be ruled out as a factor in this difference as the average household size has remained constant over the decade with an average of 5.1 people per multigenerational household, of which two are working members, while other family households have had an average of 3.1 people and 1.5 working members. This suggests that the income per person in a multigenerational household has been rising faster than other family households.

Income pooling has also buffered multigenerational households through rising home prices despite the higher prevalence of these households in more cost burdened areas. The chart below shows a strong correlation between the owner housing cost burdens and the incidence of multigenerational households. States with larger shares of housing cost burdened households (those that spend more than 30% of their income on housing) also have the higher shares of multigenerational households.

The faster growing income of multigenerational households also helped them afford more expensive homes in recent years, compared to other family households.  Looking at homeowners that moved into owned properties within the year (as a proxy for recent homebuyers), the median home values for multigenerational households have gone from $165,000 in 2012 to $400,000 in 2022. In comparison, the median home values for other family homebuyers went from $180,000 to $380,000. In other words, multigenerational households now pay $20,000 more for a home. However, because they have a higher pooled household income, their estimated home price-to-income (HPI) ratio remains lower than that of other family households.

To conclude, the rising homeownership rate among multigenerational households highlights their financial resilience and adaptability in the face of changing economic conditions. Despite living in less affordable states, these households leverage their pooled incomes to navigate higher home prices effectively. The significant increase in their median income over the past decade has enabled them to capitalize on favorable mortgage rates and propel their homeownership rate to a new decade high.

Footnote:

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