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The homeownership rate for those under the age of 35 dropped to 37% in the third quarter of 2024, reaching the lowest level since the first quarter of 2020, according to the Census’s Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS). Amidst elevated mortgage interest rates and tight housing supply, housing affordability is at a multidecade low. The youngest age group, who are particularly sensitive to mortgage rates, home prices, and the inventory of entry-level homes, saw the largest decline among all age categories.

The U.S. homeownership rate held steady at 65.6% in the third quarter of 2024, showing a flat trend over the last three quarters.  However, this marks the lowest rate in the last two years. The homeownership rate remains below the 25-year average rate of 66.4%.

The national rental vacancy rate went up to 6.9% for the third quarter of 2024, and the homeowner vacancy rate inched up to 1%. The homeowner vacancy rate remains close to the survey’s 67-year low of 0.7%.

Homeownership rates declined across all age groups compared to a year ago, except for those aged 55-64. Householders under 35 experienced the largest drop, declining by 1.3 percentage points from 38.3% to 37%. The 45-54 age group also saw a 1.3 percentage point decrease, decreasing from 71% to 69.7%. For householders aged 35-44, who experienced a modest 0.6 percentage point decline. Among those 65 years and over, homeownership inched down slightly from 79.2% to 79.1%. In contrast, the homeownership rate of the 55–64 age group rose to 75.9% from 75.4%.

The housing stock-based HVS revealed that the count of total households increased to 132.1 million in the third quarter of 2024 from 130.3 million a year ago. The gains are largely due to gains in both renter household formation (1.1 million increase), and owner-occupied households (655,000 increase).

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With housing affordability at a multidecade low, housing costs have become a major issue in the 2024 presidential election. While NAHB reports the national homeownership rate from the Census Bureau’s Housing Vacancy Survey on a quarterly basis, examining characteristics across congressional districts provides valuable insights.

A recent NAHB analysis of 2023 American Community Survey shows about two-thirds (65.2%) of US households are homeowners, yet there are forty congressional districts where renters represent the majority. Another NAHB post found that in the second quarter of this year the homeownership rate for households under the age of 35 has dropped to its lowest level in four years, as higher mortgage rates and low inventory have made affordability a bigger challenge for first-time buyers. As the largest cohort of millennials reach peak homebuying years, it is important to take a closer look at homeownership rate for those under age 35. This post will focus on comparing the homeownership rates of young adults (under 35) across congressional districts using 2023 ACS data.

The map below illustrates variation in young adults’ homeownership rates across congressional districts, ranging from 5.2% to 65.6%. In general, young adults’ homeownership rates tend to follow a distinct pattern with respect to the overall homeownership rate, particularly in the top five districts with the highest homeownership rates and the bottom five with the lowest.

Table 1 shows that the top five districts with the highest young adults’ homeownership rate also have overall homeownership rate above 80%. However, the share of young adults in the top two districts is relatively low. In New York’s 1st and 4th district, 65% of young adults are homeowners, but they only make up only 8.9% and 9.8% of the overall population. Following that, Michigan’s 9th and 2nd districts have the third and fourth highest young adults’ homeownership rates above 60%.

Table 1Congressional DistrictYoung Adults Homeownership RateOverall Homeownership RateYoung Adults Share of PopulationNew York, District 165.6%83.8%8.9%New York, District 465.2%80.7%9.8%Michigan, District 965.2%84.9%14.1%Michigan, District 261.0%82.4%17.3%Maryland, District 559.3%81.7%13.2%

Table 2 shows the bottom five districts with the lowest young adult homeownership rates. Like the top five districts, those with the lowest young adult homeownership rates also tend to have lower overall homeownership rates. Among the bottom 15 districts, most are in New York and California, with only the 15th lowest in Washington, D.C. The West coast, in general, tends to have lower homeownership rates.

Table 2Congressional DistrictYoung Adults Homeownership RateOverall Homeownership RateYoung Adults Share of PopulationNew York, District 135.2%12.8%20.4%California, District 347.5%22.0%24.8%New York, District 157.9%15.9%18.3%New York, District 78.2%22.0%33.0%California, District 308.7%30.1%24.4%

Among fifty States and the District of Columbia, New York has congressional districts with both the highest and lowest homeownership rates. This mirrors the findings of overall homeownership rate in our previous post. The highest young adults’ homeownership rate is in New York’s 1st district, while the lowest is in New York’s 13th district.

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Homeownership is an important voter issue for the upcoming election with both presidential candidates putting forth housing policies to tackle the housing affordability crisis. In a recent NAHB post, the national homeownership rate sat at 65%, but there are large disparities in homeownership when broken down by race. For Black/African American households, the homeownership rate was 45%. Hispanic/Latino households fared slightly better at 51%, while all other minority households had a homeownership rate of 55%.

According to the 2023 American Community Survey (ACS), the district with the highest homeownership rate for Black/African American households was Maryland’s 5th District at 80%, although the overall homeownership rate for this district was slightly higher at 82%. In this district, 43% of the households were Black/African American. On the opposite spectrum, California’s 34th District had the lowest Black/African American homeownership rate in the nation at just 5%. This district also had one of the lowest overall homeownership rates in the country at 22%. The table below highlights the top five districts where Black/African American homeownership is the highest.

Congressional DistrictBlack/African American Homeownership RateOverall Homeownership RateShare of PopulationMaryland, District 580%82%43%New York, District 475%81%16%California, District 4172%75%5%Virginia, District 1072%79%8%Florida, District 2171%79%11%Source: 2023 American Community Survey and NAHB calculations.

The top 3 districts with the highest homeownership of Hispanics/Latino households were in the Midwest. Michigan’s 1st District held the highest homeownership rate for the Hispanics/Latino households (78%), although they constituted for 2% of the district’s population. The overall homeownership rate for the district was slightly higher (80%), however, in Texas’ 23rd District, Hispanics/Latino’s homeownership rate was slightly higher than the overall district rate at 75% compared to 74%. In this district, Hispanics/Latinos formed a significant portion of the population, accounting for nearly 60%.

Congressional DistrictHispanic/Latino Homeownership RateOverall Homeownership RateShare of PopulationMichigan, District 178%80%2%Minnesota, District 676%81%3%Illinois, District 1676%80%5%Arizona, District 975%77%22%Texas, District 2375%74%58%Source: 2023 American Community Survey and NAHB calculations.

For all other minority households, Minnesota’s 6th District stood out with the highest homeownership rate at 85%. This rate also exceeded the overall homeownership rate for this district of 81%. In fact, the top 10 congressional districts with the highest homeownership rate for this group exceeded the district-wide homeownership rates. Tennessee’s 8th District, which has the second-highest minority homeownership rate at 83%, surpassed the overall district rate by 11 percentage points.

Congressional DistrictAll Other Race Homeownership RateOverall Homeownership RateShare of PopulationMinnesota, District 685%81%4%Tennessee, District 883%72%2%Virginia, District 1083%79%19%Texas, District 2281%76%20%Illinois, District 1481%76%12%Source: 2023 American Community Survey and NAHB calculations.

There were also significant geographical variations of homeownership rates between each racial group with Black/African American households experiencing the largest variations across the country. Black/African American homeownership was concentrated in southern states while notably lower in the Midwest, Mountain West, and parts of the Northeast. In contrast, Hispanic/Latino homeownership tended to be higher in Southwest districts, while other minority groups maintained stronger rates nationwide.

Overall, a consistent geographical pattern of homeownership across minority households can be found. For example, North Dakota and neighboring districts stood out with much lower minority homeownership. On the other hand, Southern states, where median sale prices per square foot for single-family detached homes were below the national average of $150, generally exhibited higher rates of minority homeownership.

Additional housing data for your congressional district are provided by the US Census Bureau here.

Footnote(s):

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With housing being a key issue for the 2024 election cycle, it is worth analyzing distinct characteristics as well as similarities that housing markets in congressional districts share. The differences start with a substantial variation in homeownership rates across congressional districts.

While the 2023 American Community Survey (ACS) reports that close to two thirds of US households (65.2%) are home owners, there are forty congressional districts where renter households represent the majority. In twelve of these districts, renters account for more than two thirds of households. This list includes eight urban high-density congressional districts in New York, three districts in California and New Jersey’s 8th congressional district. The pattern of urban congressional districts registering lower home ownership rates repeats across the country.

At the other end of the spectrum, there are seven congressional districts with home owners representing over 80% of households. These include three districts in Michigan, two in New York, and one in both Maryland, and Minnesota.

New York stands out with simultaneous congressional districts with the lowest and second highest homeownership rates. Close to 84% of households in New York’s 1st district located in eastern Long Island are home owners. The only other congressional district that registers a higher homeownership rate is Michigan’s 9th congressional district located in the Thumb at 85%.   In contrast, in New York’s urban 13th and 15th districts, home owners comprise a minority of less than 16% and 13%, respectively.

California is another example of substantial variation of homeownership rates across congressional districts within a state. In California’s 41st district in Riverside County, 3 out of 4 households are home owners. At the same time, in California’s 34th district in the city of Los Angeles, only 22% of households live in a home they own. 

Population density, racial and ethnical makeup, as well as varying cost of ownership, all contribute to substantial variation in homeownership rates across the US congressional districts.

Additional housing data for your congressional district are provided by the US Census Bureau here.

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The homeownership rate for multigenerational households increased by 4.9 percentage points (pp) over the last decade, but there’s another household type that experienced an even larger increase in the homeownership rate over the same period—single parent households.

In further analysis of the Census’s American Community Survey (ACS) data, NAHB dives deeper into the homeownership rate for other family household types: married couples with no children, married couples with children and single parent households. In 2022, most family households were married with no children (44%), followed by married with children (26%), single parents (12%), others (12%), and multigenerational families (6%). This composition has not changed much, with the exception of a gradual decrease in the share of married with children and single parent households, which is offset by an increase in the share of married with no children households.

The homeownership rate for single parent households saw the largest gains in homeownership rate with an increase of 5.7 percentage points over the decade. However, the overall level of homeownership rate for single parent households remains the lowest among all other family household types at just 41%.    Another group that saw a large increase was the married couple with children households, with a 4.5% increase over the decade from 73% to 78%. Like multigenerational households, these increases were spurred on by historically low mortgage rates in 2021.

The only household type to have plateaued was married without children. As a matter of fact, these households saw decreasing homeownership rates for a few years before creeping back up to be at roughly the same rate as they were ten years ago at 84%. Nonetheless, married without children households remain as the group with the highest homeownership rate with an average rate of 84% over the decade.

We also examined the estimated home price-to-income ratio (HPI) for various household types. To calculate the home prices for recent homebuyers we used the median property value for owners who moved into their property within the past year. Here is where we see the effect of how multigenerational households were able to lower their HPI with pooled income and budgets. In contrast are single parent households with their estimated home prices approaching five times their income, indicating that these households are significantly burdened by housing costs.   

Given that homeownership rates jumped in recent years for most household types despite increases in home prices suggests that the low mortgage rates in 2021 made steep home prices more palatable for homebuyers to enter the market. However, it is unlikely that we’ll see a continued increase in homeownership while mortgage rates remain elevated. 

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The homeownership rate for multigenerational households surpassed that of all other family household types in 2022 and now stands at 74.2%, exceeding the homeownership rate of other family households of 73.9%. Just a decade ago, the homeownership rate for multigenerational stood at 69.3%, second to other family households at 71.3%.

Multigenerational households are defined by the Census Bureau as households with three or more generations living together. In this post, NAHB used the American Community Survey (ACS) 1-year estimates from 2012 to 2022 to estimate the homeownership rates (which is calculated as the total number of owner-occupied units divided by the total number of applicable households) for different household types.

In 2012, the homeownership rate for multigenerational households stood at 69.3%, 2 percentage points (pp) below the 71.3% homeownership rate for other family households. The gap in homeownership rates between these household types remained with higher rates for other family households until 2021. By 2022, the gap inverted with 74.2% of multigenerational households owning homes versus 73.9% of other family households. This represents about a 5 pp increase in homeownership rate for multigenerational households over the decade compared to a 2.6 pp increase for other family households.

The primary factor that explains the rise in the multigenerational household homeownership rate is the availability of more capital during the period of low interest rates in 2021. While the median family income for multigenerational households consistently exceeds that of other family households’ income due to resource pooling, this difference has widened over time. For example, real median income for multigenerational households and other family households in 2012 were $63,643 and $62,633, respectively, with a difference of about $1,000. By 2022, this difference widened almost twelvefold to $11,778, with multigenerational households earning $103,501 and other family households earning $91,723.

Changes in family structure can be ruled out as a factor in this difference as the average household size has remained constant over the decade with an average of 5.1 people per multigenerational household, of which two are working members, while other family households have had an average of 3.1 people and 1.5 working members. This suggests that the income per person in a multigenerational household has been rising faster than other family households.

Income pooling has also buffered multigenerational households through rising home prices despite the higher prevalence of these households in more cost burdened areas. The chart below shows a strong correlation between the owner housing cost burdens and the incidence of multigenerational households. States with larger shares of housing cost burdened households (those that spend more than 30% of their income on housing) also have the higher shares of multigenerational households.

The faster growing income of multigenerational households also helped them afford more expensive homes in recent years, compared to other family households.  Looking at homeowners that moved into owned properties within the year (as a proxy for recent homebuyers), the median home values for multigenerational households have gone from $165,000 in 2012 to $400,000 in 2022. In comparison, the median home values for other family homebuyers went from $180,000 to $380,000. In other words, multigenerational households now pay $20,000 more for a home. However, because they have a higher pooled household income, their estimated home price-to-income (HPI) ratio remains lower than that of other family households.

To conclude, the rising homeownership rate among multigenerational households highlights their financial resilience and adaptability in the face of changing economic conditions. Despite living in less affordable states, these households leverage their pooled incomes to navigate higher home prices effectively. The significant increase in their median income over the past decade has enabled them to capitalize on favorable mortgage rates and propel their homeownership rate to a new decade high.

Footnote:

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FluxFactory/GettyImages; Illustration by Hunter Newton/Bankrate

Key takeaways

Deciding whether to sell your house or rent it out depends on personal circumstances, such as immediate cash needs and future housing plans.

Selling might be the better option if you need the proceeds to pay for your next home or stand to make a large profit.

Renting it out could be a good choice if you’re looking for additional income or if you’re moving temporarily and plan to come back.

There are many reasons why a homeowner might want to move. But whatever your reason, one question still applies: What should you do with your current home? Depending on your financial situation and your local housing market, you might consider renting it out rather than selling. If you’re caught in the sell versus rent debate, here are some factors to consider, including the costs.

Should I sell or rent my house?

A home is the biggest financial asset most people own, and deciding what to do with it shouldn’t be taken lightly. There are pros and cons to both options: For example, selling gets you a large windfall of cash all at once, while renting earns you smaller increments of steady monthly income from your tenants. If you have somewhere else to live and can afford to hang on to the house, renting it will also allow you to continue building equity as home values go up. Take a look at the following scenarios to determine which path is best for you.

When selling your home is a good choice
If you need the cash to pay for your next house

If your ability to buy a new home relies on accessing the money tied up in the current one, then selling is the best option. That way, you can take all your proceeds from the sale and put it toward your new down payment. Buying a new home while selling your current one can be a tricky balancing act, so be sure to work with an experienced real estate agent who can guide you through the process.

If you have no interest in being a landlord

Managing a rental property is time-consuming and often challenging. Are you handy and able to make some repairs yourself? If not, do you have a network of affordable contractors you can reach out to in a pinch? Consider whether you want to take on the added responsibility of being a landlord or paying for a third party to take care of things instead.

If you stand to make a significant profit

Property values have risen all over the country over the past few years, and home prices remain high. Depending on how long you’ve owned your home, how much you paid for it and how hot your local market is, selling could net you a significant windfall. Take a look at nearby real estate comps to see how much homes similar to yours have been selling for.

If you are eligible for capital gains tax exemptions

If you do sell your home for a profit, you may be able to exclude up to $250,000 of capital gains from the sale (or up to $500,000 for married couples filing jointly) from your taxes. For this to apply, the home must have been your primary residence for at least two out of the last five years, among other criteria.

When renting your home is a good choice
If your move is temporary

If your move is short-term and you plan on returning to your current city in the future, you may want to keep your home and rent it out in the meantime. Knowing there will be a place for you to live when you return provides peace of mind — and when you factor in closing costs, it may even cost less than selling and purchasing another home at a later date.

If you want the rental income

Extra income can be hard to turn down! But if you decide to rent your current home and want to buy another one with a mortgage, keep in mind that lenders will consider rental income when determining your financing. In some cases, a lender will only allow a portion of your rental income to be counted as an income source. In addition, you will be carrying two mortgages at once, so make sure this is something you are financially able to take on.

If rental demand in your area is high

Is your home in a hot neighborhood with lots of buzz? Is it in an extremely desirable school district, near a vacation destination like a beach, or close to the best amenities in town? Evaluate the rental demand in your area — renting is much less stressful when finding a tenant is fast and easy. Research the local housing market to determine what other similar properties are charging in rent. You can also speak to a local agent or property management company to learn more about the rental demand in your neighborhood.

If you expect home values to rise in your area

It’s impossible to foresee with 100 percent accuracy where the housing market is headed. That being said, you may be able to make an informed prediction. If you expect that your current home’s value will increase within a few years or less, you might want to consider renting it out now and selling later, to take advantage of the price appreciation.

Selling vs. renting your home: Costs to consider

Both renting and selling a home will incur costs. One of the most important things to think about is whether the rental income you’d receive will be enough to cover the property’s mortgage and upkeep.

To determine how much rental income you can reasonably expect to earn, take a look at what other similar properties are charging and weigh that against the costs of owning and maintaining the property. From there, you can gauge whether you’ll be able to recoup your expenses, and maybe even turn a profit.

Costs of renting out a home

Mortgage: Even though you’ll be earning rental income, you’re still responsible for paying the mortgage, which may or may not be fully covered by the rent you bring in. The same goes for property taxes.

Insurance: Landlord insurance can cover certain costs, such as damage to the home or someone getting injured on the property. You can expect this to cost roughly 25 percent more than the typical homeowners insurance policy — which you’ll also still have to pay for.

Maintenance and repairs: You’ll need to keep up with routine maintenance to ensure the home is fit for tenants. As a rule of thumb, budget at least 1 percent of the home’s value every year (more if it’s an older property) to pay for maintenance.

Finding a tenant: To find a tenant, you’ll have to get the word out. Consider any marketing costs you may incur, such as taking out an advertisement. You may also need to pay for background and credit checks of potential renters — though you might be able to pass this nominal expense on to the tenant.

Vacancies: Consider, too, the cost of vacancies between tenants. If a tenant moves out and you don’t have a replacement, that’s income you’re losing out on.

Property management fees: Hiring a property manager makes being a landlord less onerous, but it will eat into your profits as well. These companies tend to charge a percentage of the rent price, typically around 10 percent.

HOA fees: If your home belongs to a homeowners association, you’ll also be responsible for HOA fees, which vary considerably depending on what type of amenities are offered.

Costs of selling a home

Agent commissions: For ages, the typical real estate commission has been between 5 and 6 percent of a home’s sale price, split evenly between the seller’s agent and the buyer’s agent and paid entirely by the seller. That is about to change, however, as a result of a legal battle recently settled by the National Association of Realtors. Beginning this summer, depending on the deal, buyers may be responsible for paying their agent’s commission directly. That said, a single agent’s fee is still a significant expense: On a $400,000 sale, for example, 2.5 percent comes to $10,000.

Home improvements: To get your home in shape to sell, you’ll likely have a few services to pay for. These might include sprucing up the landscaping, a thorough deep cleaning and making any necessary repairs. And paying a pro to stage your home can increase its desirability, potentially bringing in a higher price.

Closing costs: Sellers typically incur some closing costs beyond Realtor commissions, too, such as attorney fees, transfer taxes and title insurance.

Mortgage payoff: If you still have a mortgage on the home, once you’ve sold it, some of the proceeds will go toward paying off the remainder of your loan.

What if there’s a recession?

Some economists still predict a recession in the country’s near future. According to Bankrate’s most recent Economic Indicator Poll, the odds of a recession over the next 12 months are 33 percent. Before you make a final decision on whether to sell your house or rent it out, ask yourself how a serious economic downturn might affect your finances. Is your job stable? Is your savings strong? Would you still be able to manage two mortgages during a recession, or the possibility of less rental income than expected? If the answer to any of these questions is no, selling may be the safer option.

Bottom line

The question “should I sell or rent my house?” requires careful consideration of your financial situation, lifestyle and local housing market. To help guide your decision, consider the costs of both options, whether you’ll return to your current location anytime soon and if you’re interested in being a landlord.



This article was originally published by a www.bankrate.com . Read the Original article here. .


The U.S. homeownership rate was 65.6% in the second quarter of 2024, unchanged from the first quarter of 2024, according to the Census’s Housing Vacancies and Homeownership Survey (HVS). However, this marks the lowest rate in the last two years. The homeownership rate is below the 25-year average rate of 66.4%, due to a multidecade low for housing affordability conditions.

The homeownership rate for the head of households (householders) under the age of 35 decreased to 37.4% in the second quarter of 2024. Amidst elevated mortgage interest rates and tight housing supply, affordability is declining for first-time homebuyers. This age group, who are particularly sensitive to mortgage rates, home prices, and the inventory of entry-level homes, saw the largest decline among all age categories.

The national rental vacancy rate stayed at 6.6% for the second quarter of 2024, and the homeowner vacancy rate inched up to 0.9%. The homeowner vacancy rate is still hovering near the lowest rate in the survey’s 67-year history (0.7%).

The homeownership rates for householders under 35, between 35 and 44, and 65 and over decreased compared to a year ago. The homeownership rates among householders under 35 experienced a 1.1 percentage point decrease from 38.5% to 37.4%. Followed by the 35-44 age group with a 0.9 percentage point decrease from 63.1% to 62.2%. Next, were households with ages 65 years and over, who experienced a modest 0.3 percentage point decline. However, homeownership rates for the 45-54 age group inched up to 71.1% in the second quarter of 2024 from 70.8% a year ago. The homeownership rate of 55-64 year olds edged up to 75.8% from a year ago.

The housing stock-based HVS revealed that the count of total households increased to 131.4 million in the second quarter of 2024 from 130 million a year ago. The gains are largely due to gains in both renter household formation (855,000 increase), and owner-occupied households (515,000 increase).

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