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You’ve got some money. You’ve got your strategy. You’ve even analyzed a bunch of rentals. But you still can’t find real estate deals that cash flow. What gives? Today, we’re going to share three things YOU can do to turn more “okay” deals into great deals!

Welcome to another Rookie Reply! We’re back with more questions from the BiggerPockets Forums, the best place to ask your questions and get top-notch advice from other investors. First, it can be disheartening to analyze rental properties and come up dry, but we’ve got a few simple adjustments that could change your fortune. We’ll also hear from an investor who’s worried about an appraisal that could break their deal and show them how to use it to their advantage instead!

Finally, we’ll share the number one investing strategy all newbies should be paying attention to in 2025. This is a low-risk way for any beginner to break into real estate investing. The best part? It can be seriously profitable!

Ashley:
If you’ve got money saved but can’t find a cash flowing deal, this episode is for you. We’re tackling investing in an overheated market, a risky hoarder house flip, and the strategy every rookie should be paying attention to in 2025.

Tony:
And today, we’re answering three rookie questions straight from our inbox, and these are real problems from real investors that they’re facing right now. Again, from appraisal worries to strategies that are working in today’s shifting market.

Ashley:
We’ll tackle these real world investment dilemmas and give you actionable advice you can implement today. I’m Ashley Kehr.

Tony:
And I’m Tony j Robinson.

Ashley:
Welcome to the Real Estate Rookie Podcast. Okay, so our first question today is pulled from the BiggerPockets forums, and this question says, for the past six months I’ve been looking for houses both single family and multifamily that can produce at least a little bit of cashflow with around 20 to 30% down. However, I’ve started to realize that this is pretty much impossible these days. I currently have $110,000 sitting in my bank ready to be invested, but I just can’t find anything that will at least produce a 3% cash on cash return. I’ve been looking for properties in and around Tampa, Orlando, and St. Pete’s, but I can’t find anything that’s worth it. Okay, so Tony, first of all, Florida, we’re going to have to address the insurance rate here, but also the impending news headline that Florida is trying to cancel property taxes too. So there could be some relief for primary homeowners in Florida if they do just completely cut out property taxes, but you have to consider that’s probably a billion dollar line item that will have to be replaced somewhere else and they’ll just find another way to tax you on it, so you’ll be paying it another way.

Tony:
I didn’t see that headline that they’re thinking about doing that.

Ashley:
Yeah, so that’s been something that’s being discussed right now. But yeah, so that could be interesting. For primary homeowners, it did specifically say that it would have to be your primary residence for the tax relief. So then as an investor, one of the options they could do is actually just triple your tax on. So maybe it’s not the best for this person who wants this property as an investment.

Tony:
Yeah. Well, a couple things come to mind for me first, a 3% cash on cash return I feel like is a very low bar, and I think the challenge may be more so around where you’re looking than real estate as a strategy. I guess some context, right? A lot of markets across the country have exploded in terms of popularity over the last several years, and Florida has seen a lot of net migration just even outside of real estate investing. There’s just a lot of people moving to Florida. There’s definitely been strong demand in that market for housing, and I think because of that you’ve probably seen prices increase faster than rents have increased in that market. So maybe prices have increased 30, 40, 50, maybe they’ve doubled in the last couple of years in seven markets, but rents have only gone up five or 10%, whatever it may be. So I think over time, hopefully we’ll start to find that balance again where the rental rates you can demand start to get back in line with the actual value of these homes. Maybe it doesn’t, right? And maybe that’s just what Florida is moving forward, but I feel like that might be a bigger challenge than the strategy of real estate investing itself.

Ashley:
And one thing too is mentioned in here, he’s saying that when he can’t find anything, that produces a little bit of cashflow. But I’m curious as to when you say that, are you looking at what the asking prices and analyzing the deal based on that, are you actually making offers as to where the deal will work and they’re getting rejected because an asking price is not the purchase price. So there could be a room for negotiation where you can actually offer where your deal would work and get your offer accepted, and then the property does pencil out. So when you are looking at properties and you see the asking price and you analyze the deal using the BiggerPockets calculators and you say, you know what? This deal doesn’t work. It doesn’t cash flow. I’m not getting the cash on cash return that I want change the purchase price. That is the easiest number to change. You don’t want to inflate the rental income, you don’t want to decrease the expenses on the property, but change the purchase price. At what purchase price does this deal actually pencil out and start making offers based on that assessment? So you have to be able to do that instead of saying no deals actually work. You can only say that if you are making offers and your offers aren’t being accepted,

Tony:
You make an incredible point actually, I think for a lot of rookies, one of their biggest challenges is just that they don’t get enough offers out and there’s this fear around, well, they’re probably going to say no. And it’s like, okay, well who cares? Right? I mean the absolute worst case scenario of you submitting an offer that’s lower than what they want is that they say no. They say, no thank you, and they leave it at that. The best case scenario is that they say yes by some miracle, but the most likely case scenario is that they try and meet you in the middle somewhere like, Hey, we’re definitely not going to go down to X, but we can do Y. And now you’ve opened up the dialogue to try and find a good deal. Actually, I was actually just talking with AJ Osborne early this week.
If you guys know aj, he’s been on the rookie podcast, the BPRE as well, the real estate podcast, really, really successful guy in the self storage space. And I was asking him this question, how many offers is team putting out right now to find deals? And he was like, we’re putting out a lot, but honestly I feel like we should be putting out more. And he told this story where there was a small self source facility they were looking at. It was like, I dunno, I think two and a half million is what it was listed at. He was like, this is a killer deal at 1.2. It’s an okay deal, like a reasonable deal that we still do at 1.5. And because the team was like, well, it’s listed at 2.5, they just didn’t even think that the seller would entertain a million dollars less than the asking price. Lo and behold, it ends up closing a few months later at 1.5 and he went back to the team and was like, well, what did we offer? They’re like, we didn’t offer anything. Why? So I think the biggest challenge for a lot of real estate investors is just getting past the fear of getting a no and realizing that it’s just part of the process and it gets so much easier to get to your yes if you’re not afraid of that next, no,

Ashley:
And I think part of it too, this was something that held me back too, is not wanting to bog down your agent with putting out a million offers for you that are low ball offers and taking up a lot of their time. That was something I didn’t want to inconvenience my agent with that. So that’s a discussion to have with your agent. As in I want to make all of these low ball offers. Is this something that you’re okay with working with me? And if they’re not, then you can go to the agent finder biggerpockets.com/agent finder and find an investor friendly agent who is willing to do this for you. The next thing is is that you can go ahead, you can get on the MLS as find out who the agent is that’s representing the seller, send them a message, email them, call them and say, Hey, would the seller be open to an offer around this amount? And they can let you know. And then if the agent says, yeah, actually they might be depending on the terms or whatever, then you can go to your agent and say, I want to write up a formal offer and move forward with it that way too. So there’s different ways to approach the low ball offers no matter the reason why you’re not doing it. There’s ways to overcome those excuses, I guess as I have learned.

Tony:
And I think the only other thing that I’d add here is that obviously I think a potential solution to getting better than a 3% return is just going out of state, going to some other location where the returns are better. Again, 19 20,000 plus cities in the United States, there’s a good chance that there’s one or two out there that will allow you to get a better than 3% cash on cash return. But if for whatever reason you’re just really hyper-focused on investing in your own backyard, then I think maybe entertain different strategies to invest. Because if you’re just looking at traditional single family long-term rentals, could you maybe look at different types of properties maybe instead of single families, can you go out and try and find small multifamily or single families with an A DU or single families with a finished basement or I don’t know, self stores, right? Just talking about aj, could you find a different type of property or could you maybe within those single family homes leverage a different property? We’ve talked a lot about co-living and room rentals recently we had a guest on Devonna Reed who talked about sober living facilities. We’ve had folks talk about assisted living facilities. I know Henry Washington’s doing one right now. So if you can’t find a deal with your current asset type and strategy, can you blend those in a different way to find something that actually does work?

Ashley:
Well? We’re going to find out what happens when you do find a property and it’s a mess inside, like hoarder level messy. Let’s talk about what to do when the appraisal might kill your flip right after. A quick word from our show sponsors. Okay, welcome back to the show, Tony. What’s our second question today?

Tony:
Alright, so our next question says we are trying to buy an off-market hoarder house flip. The seller wants an appraisal to set the price, but the house is full of clutter and will need a new roof AC and basically a full reno. I’ve run my comps, but I’m worried that the appraisal might come in too high and kill the deal. What should I do?

Ashley:
This is really interesting, like the seller requesting an appraisal.

Tony:
Well, let me ask actually. Has that ever happened to you before? If you’ve done an off-market transaction where the seller wants their own appraisal?

Ashley:
No, but I have had it where they had an appraisal in the past, even years ago, there was one campground where they had went and done, got a second lien or something on the property and they had had an appraisal done to get a short term loan, and it was from probably I think three years. And they were going based off of that appraisal what they wanted and how they thought it had increased even more in value over those three years or whatever. So they were using an old appraisal to kind of justify their asking price at that point. But I’ve never gone into a situation where they’re talking about selling but asking for the appraisal to be done to set the purchase price. Now,

Tony:
Yeah, neither have I, right? So I think if we’re going to kind of not shoot from the hip, but just if we were in that situation, kind of how we approach it, and I think the first thing that comes to mind for me is that you’ve got to understand what the motivations of the seller are, and obviously price is one, otherwise they wouldn’t be getting an appraisal. If they want to talk about getting an appraisal, then price is something that’s important to them. But if it’s a hoarder house, more times than not, what you see in those situations is that it’s the convenience of selling. That’s also a big motivator because if the seller were to take this and listed traditionally with an agent, the agent’s going to say, you got to clean this stuff up. No one’s going to want to move into a house that’s filled with all of your junk.
It doesn’t happen that way. If you’re going to a retail traditional buyer, if I’m looking for my starter home with me and my family and my baby and my puppy, I can’t picture myself living there with all of your stuff. And even if I can picture it, I’m not going to move it out right? By the time I get the keys, I want it empty. So there’s a lot of work I think that’ll go in on the seller’s side to get that property ready. So if it’s me, the conversation I’ll be having is like, Hey, look, Mr and Mrs. Seller, I totally get that the appraisal says X, but what it’s not accounting for, it’s a time, effort and energy that you’ll need to put into it to get the property ready to actually sell for that amount. And what I’m offering you is the easy way out where I will come in, you can leave everything, I’ll clear this whole house out. You don’t have to lift the single finger aside from the stuff you actually want. And it’s the convenience that I think will help you bridge that gap between whatever you’ve agreed to and what that appraisal is.

Ashley:
And I think there’s a part of it as to doing things. The seller wants to get it under contract or to establish that working relationship. So if they really want an appraisal, what’s an appraisal cost in your area? Is it 500? Is it a thousand? Depending on how big of the house is it 1500? I would say, okay, we’ll do the appraisal. Sure, no problem. That’s what you want. Assuming in this situation, you as the buyer are going to be the one paying for it. I’m assuming they’re asking you to pay for it. If they’re going to pay for it, great. I would ask to have it under contract. If you are going to pay for the appraisal, I would get it under contract and I would set an amount and then I would say to them, but this will be contingent on the appraisal.
So if the appraisal comes in higher, we can renegotiate. If it comes in lower, we can renegotiate. This is just something for us to sign something. So basically, so you know that they don’t go out and find somebody else during this time period or whatever. You have it under contract so you have some control of the deal. And so I would say, yes, I’ll do the appraisal, but I want to get something signed in writing that we can move forward. So if the appraisal does come back at the price you want, you have it locked up. If the appraisal is way higher, then I would put in there that the amount of the appraisal is based on the home being vacant, including all of the contents. So that would mean the seller, sure, I will pay that appraisal price, but everything has to be removed from the property and it has to be completely vacant, which as Tony said, that completely removes the convenience of selling off market.
And that’s where they can maybe look at the price better and say, you know what? It is easier for me to just leave everything, and I do this all the time, even when it’s not a hoarder house is I will say, especially when it’s an estate sale, I will say, take whatever you would like, whatever you don’t want, please leave it. We will take care of it. And they don’t have to get dumpsters, they don’t have to spend their weekends cleaning out their grandma’s house. And that is a huge convenience in negotiating. So if you’re doing the appraisal, I would add that in as the appraisal price that we’re getting is based on the house being completely vacant, but I would still go ahead and do the appraisal. If that’s the only way they’re going to move forward, then yes, there’s no reason to fight doing it if you can’t change their mind on it.

Tony:
Yeah, I think the only other point I’d add is also don’t be afraid to walk away. If this seller is playing hardball and they’re like, Hey, the appraisal came in $75,000 higher than what we’ve contracted, and if you don’t give me this extra $75,000 and the deal’s over, I would say don’t get emotionally attached to the deal and end up moving forward with it just because you’ve already kind of had your heart set on closing this transaction out. Because not every deal is closeable. And there are some deals that start off incredibly positive. It seems like everything’s going right and then it takes a turn from the left and deals don’t work out. So that’s part of being a real estate investor.

Ashley:
And also too, if you are the one that’s paying for the appraisal, the appraisal is yours. So I was in a situation where I was under contract on a commercial property and I had to have an environmental study done on it, and I paid for that environmental study and something was flagged and it needed to go to the next phase. The sellers actually said, no, we do not want any more environmental studies done on the property, which right there is a red flag. And so I said, okay, well I’m not continuing and they canceled the contract, but I said, if you want, I will sell you my environmental study and you can have it. So when you go and find another buyer, you have that as a negotiation tactic that somebody that gets it under contract doesn’t need to go and get a new one done. You already have one that you can provide them. And so they actually bought it from me. So in this situation with the seller, maybe there’s some opportunity where if the contract does fall through, you’re not giving them the full appraisal, you’re just giving them the page that says what it’s at to show them or something. But you can sell the whole appraisal to them or something too that they could use to go and find another buyer to kind of recoup some of your costs.

Tony:
You make a really good point, and I want to get back, just to finish off this question, but just to follow along with what you just said. When we tried to buy our first hotel, we failed, and I’ve shared that story here on the podcast before, and we had probably invested, I believe our EMD was $50,000 on that hotel, and I think we invested 30 to 40, maybe even another $50,000 in all of our due diligence costs. And we had an appraisal, which was pretty big for a hotel of that size. We had an inspection, we did a phase one environmental. There were other things that we had to do, a lot of paperwork, a lot of professionals that we hired. And in order for us to negotiate to get back our EMD, we did what you did where we said, Hey, look, we’ve already done all this due diligence.
We’ll give it all to you if you release our EMD. So we were able to walk away from that deal, keep our EMD in exchange for all the due diligence that we did. So just for anyone that’s kind of like in that situation, all of the work that you do, validating whether or not this is a good deal, that is an asset to the seller in their next transaction. If you can leverage that to help either move the deal in the right direction or at least get your money back, it’s something to do. The last point here is, regardless of what the appraisal comes back at, I think it’s still beneficial for you as the buyer to do your own analysis, run your own comps so you can educate the seller and you can tell the seller like, Hey, look, I get what the appraisal said, but here’s the business plan that I’m going to execute.
And this is probably the business plan that most people looking to buy. This house will execute as well. So the feedback that I’m giving you will be the very similar to the type of feedback you get from any other potentially interested buyer, I need to buy your house at this number because it’s going to cost me X in repairs, it’s going to cost me y and holding costs. I typically need to make a margin of at least Z for this deal to even make sense for me. And the property’s going to sell for this number here. So if we back out of all these numbers, if I come up to this appraised amount, there’s no way that the deal makes sense for me. And look Mr. And Mrs. Seller, if it doesn’t make sense for me, there’s a good chance it’s not going to make sense for anyone else because we’re all looking at the same numbers, we’re all looking at the same comps. So I think doing your own analysis and educating the seller on, Hey, here’s what the numbers actually say, it’s harder to argue with that. Not saying that they won’t. I’m just saying it’s a little bit harder to argue with that. So running your own analysis of the tool in your tool belt here.

Ashley:
Okay, so what if you’re not flipping or buying in Florida? What if you’re just trying to figure out the right strategy in this weird market? Let’s talk about what’s really working for investors right now. We’re going to take a quick break before our last question, but while we’re gone, be sure to subscribe to the Real Estate Rookie YouTube channel. You can find us at realestate rookie. We’ll be back with more after this. Alright, let’s jump back into our last question here from the BiggerPockets forums. Tony, what’s the last question?

Tony:
Alright, this one says, with the market constantly shifting, some are falling out of favor. So what’s one real estate strategy more investors should be paying attention to right now? This is like everyone’s million dollar question. I actually feel like this one keeps popping up in different ways.

Ashley:
I know. Are we going to have the same answer? Is what I am wondering?

Tony:
I feel like we’re leaning into it, but I think first, just big picture, what are some of the headwinds that we’re facing right now as real estate investors? I think first the most obvious one is that interest rates have gone up. They have come down a little bit, but they’re still higher, significantly higher than where we were 2021 coming out of Covid, et cetera. And more expensive interest means more expensive mortgage payments, which means less profits so that there’s less margin on the deals. The other piece is that a lot of sellers still haven’t accepted that we’re in this new state and they’re doing one of two things. Either A, they listing at prices that are unreasonable and they’re somewhat unwilling to negotiate. Not all but some, right? So there’s just less flexibility on the seller side. And the second thing that folks are doing that is probably just as impactful is they’re just not listing at all.
They’re like, I’m just going to hold onto this deal. I’m going to see where the market goes, which is reducing the supply of listings for sale. And if supply is low while demand is high prices, there’s some stickiness there. So I think we’re kind of seeing it on both sides where less people looking to sell their homes, ones that are being less resistant to actually be flexible with their pricing. I think we have seen, just even for us as deals that we’ve offered on, we are starting to see more flexibility come back, but it’s definitely not, it’s almost a buyer’s market it feels like, but not totally. So I think there’s still some headwinds we’re facing there.

Ashley:
Yeah, I was just actually reading something this morning that said in February, new listings that hit the market were up 17% comparable to last February of 2024. So already we’re seeing more and more properties being listed, which increases supply. So it’ll be curious as to where things end up. I did look at interest rates this morning too, and they’re definitely starting to come down a little bit as you are making offers and things and getting financing and pre-approvals, look at all of the different lending options. Well, as always, as pretty much as is always been your best interest rate is going to be if it is your primary residence, which leads us to house hacking as an option. And I actually saw today that somebody commented on one of our YouTube videos and said another dumb house hacking video is everybody getting sick of hearing house hacking as a strategy. And we hear so much now about co-living, which I think co-living is going to be the hot strategy of 2025 because buy one property, rent out the rooms to multiple people and make your property cash flow that way. Instead of renting it out to one family, you’re going to be renting it out to multiple people and it gives you, you can charge more per bed that way.

Tony:
And honestly, I think it’s the people who are kind of blending house hacking with some of these other strategies where we tend to see the best returns. I was actually just talking to someone, I met them at an event and we just reconnected not too long ago, but he shared with me that he bought a big single family house near Washington DC and massive single family house, much too big for him and his family, and they ended up dividing it into three total units, three total units, and I believe short-term rents, one of the units long-term rents the other unit and lives in one with him and his family. He’s told me he was clearing, I think it was like 10 grand per month on this one property.

Ashley:
Wow. Andy’s living in it too. So his cost of living is zero,

Tony:
So no expenses living and he’s getting 10 grand per month. But look at what he’s done. He’s molded several strategies together. He’s got house hacking, he’s got long-term and he’s got short-term. And I talk about Craig curl up a lot, but when we interviewed him about his strategy, he did a similar thing, house hacked, and he combined that with co-living, right? So he was living in one unit and the unit he was living in was renting out the rooms and then the other units, he was renting them out as full unit. So I think blending some of these strategies together, house hacking is great because as Ashley said, you get low down payment, you get low interest rates, and then adding in the kind of juicier cash flow methods, midterm, long term or midterm, short-term and co-living is how you really maximize the revenue potential. So you’re decreasing your cost of acquisition and you’re increasing your top line revenue. And if you can do both of those things, that’s how you tend to get really, really good returns.

Ashley:
In part of that too is focusing on your operations too. You can have really good operations and make more on one property than someone else can on three properties. And that’s also identifying the right property too. So we always say you have to take action. You can’t wait for the perfect deal, the perfect property, but if you find a property that has that flexibility to be molded and changed into something that’s going to generate more cashflow, that’s such a great opportunity for you there.

Tony:
I think the last thing I’d add to this question as well is also look for opportunities that are almost like businesses that are built on top of real estate transactions. So I mentioned earlier, sober living and assisted living. Actually someone in my wife’s family, they have a small portfolio of homes for disabled adults. So these are disabled adults who have some sort of mental disability and they need care kind of 24 7, and she has a house for folks who fit that mold. And these are ways to really, it’s still real estate investing, right? Because you have to go out there, buy the property, set it all up, but really it’s a business on top of that. And those are the strategies I think that can really, really, really juice some of your cashflow and strategies. We don’t talk about a ton, but that I think can really be beneficial to, even for Ricky’s that are starting out.

Ashley:
And to be clear on those two strategies too, as far as there’s a business operational piece, there are companies that run those businesses that look for these specific houses to rent where you still don’t have to run the business, you rent it to these businesses that will actually operate those. But we have had guests on that come in and they actually do the operations piece and own the property to the real estate. Well thank you guys so much for joining us today. If you are enjoying this podcast, your support means the world to us. Taking just 30 seconds to leave a review on Apple Podcast can make a huge difference. Your feedback not only motivates our team, but helps us reach more awesome listeners like you. Thank you for being a part of our podcast community. And Tony, did you have one that you wanted to shout out today?

Tony:
I do. So this one comes from Nobe, REI love. The name says, listen to this podcast every day. Love the show. Please keep making content. I need daily motivation from you guys. You are what keeps me going and dreaming. So appreciate that noob and you are. What keeps us going is knowing that folks like you’re listening to the podcast, so the gratitude is reciprocated for sure.

Ashley:
Tony, maybe we need to start doing a daily podcast or a daily voice memo and everyone can sign up for a text message from you in the morning that’s just in your calm, soothing voice. Good morning, it’s time to start analyzing deals. You can do this something very, some inspirational quote, you used to tell us all the time about your son and things you would tell him, these life lessons, these analogies. So you could basically take all of those that you’ve accumulated over his last 16 years and go ahead and put those into a little monologue to play for us all every morning to keep us motivated and inspired.

Tony:
I love that idea and it’s got a real severance type vibe to it. Do you watch severance or No?

Ashley:
I’ve watched two of the episodes. Darryl’s watching it, but I haven’t really gotten to it.

Tony:
Best show on tv, but it is really got severance vibes. I don’t, don’t know if people would get sick of hearing my voice every single morning, but hey Ricky’s, if you want it, we’ll make it happen.

Ashley:
Well, thank you guys so much for listening. I’m Ashley, and he’s Tony, and we’ll see you guys on the next episode.

 

 

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Is it possible to reach FIRE by 45, even on a teacher’s salary or an average income? Today’s guest is proving that, yes, you can retire early, regardless of your paycheck. It may be a little harder than it is for high-income earners, but with frugality, discipline, and smart investments, regular people can achieve FIRE!

Welcome back to the BiggerPockets Money podcast! At just 31 years old, Kat has been diligently maxing out her retirement accounts, saving a ton of cash, and making enormous strides towards retiring by age 45. Most would say this is a long shot for someone with a teacher’s salary, but thanks to a high savings rate and savvy financial decisions, Kat is right on track to reach her lofty goal. The real question is, should she?

Kat will need to grind for the next 15 years to retire on her original timeline. Is it worth taking an extra couple of years to reach financial independence if it prevents burnout? In this episode, Mindy and Amberly will break down Kat’s options, help her avoid the dreaded middle-class trap, and give her a roadmap for achieving FIRE quickly while also enjoying the journey!

Mindy:
What if you could access your retirement funds years before traditional retirement age without paying hefty penalties? Today’s Finance Friday guest is hoping to retire by the age of 45, but she doesn’t have a really clear understanding of the investing order of operations and what is best Today. We are going to break down the options that she has to make her dream a reality in just 14 years. This is a great episode if you’re worried about the middle class trap and how to make sure it doesn’t get in your way of financial freedom. Hello, hello, hello and welcome to the BiggerPockets Money podcast. My name is Mindy Jensen and with me while Scott Trench is out on paternity leave is Amberly Grant.

Amberly:
Hello. I’m happy to be back here hanging out with you, Mindy. I’m so excited you’re here. Alright guys, I’m going to put on my best Scott impression, hopefully better than last time. BiggerPockets has a goal of creating 1 million millionaires. You are in the right place if you want to get your financial house in order because we truly believe that financial freedom is attainable for everyone no matter what or when or where you have started.

Mindy:
I think you really starting to get that again. Scott’s voice is a little lower, but that was spot on. Okay, Kat, thank you so much for joining us today. We are so excited to talk to you.

Kat:
Yay. Thank you so much for having me Mindy. Thank you. Amber Lee, so nice to meet you guys.

Mindy:
It’s nice to meet you. Kat, can you share where your journey with money begins?

Kat:
I can. So I was brought up in the middle class and my parents really set the stage for me in terms of money and how to work with money and ultimately they taught me a few values. They taught me a value of frugality and they taught me a value of generosity and the value of frugality even though we could afford all the things we needed to afford. You can see that my mom still has her 1998 Honda Civic and I think it’s indestructible at this point. I always have been a saver. I’ve had a piggy bank under my bed since I was a kid and that was great except I never really put my money into a high-yield savings account. I didn’t know about that. My parents, I’ve always trusted them explicitly or implicitly with everything and my parents always invested for me, which was great.
We were investing except I didn’t realize we were investing in only a few stocks. It was fine when we were invested in Apple in the early two thousands, but then over time there’s just a few stocks that we’re in and those didn’t do well and I’m at the early stages of my life, so for me, I can pivot and I was lucky enough to without debt in school and I was able to buy a house, so I have a good setup for myself, but it’s of course different for my parents because they’re a bit later in life. And so I just started realizing I can’t just trust other people with taking care of me. I also have to make sure I’m taking care of myself with my finances, woman with a master’s degree in chemistry. I should know more about my money. And then my friend Anna Banana, we were in Ireland together and she told me about this fire movement and I was like, what the heck is that? I’m like, I can’t retire early. I’m a teacher, but I’ve just been absorbing your podcasts literally. It’s delicious to me. And so yeah, I am grateful to be here and to share my story, so thanks.

Amberly:
Thank you so much, Kat for sharing all of that. It’s really nice to hear where you come from because it really does inform where you’re going. You had mentioned you’re a teacher. Can you tell us a little bit about how far into teaching you are, what maybe state you teach and yeah, tell us that.

Kat:
I am a science research teacher in New York state and it is my seventh year teaching, but I am on step eight. We have a step system for salary from some of my other experiences with AmeriCorps. They counted that towards my steps.

Amberly:
Excellent. That’s really nice. And do you do something outside of teaching as well?

Kat:
Not anything that really brings home the bank, but I get some money for the specialty class. I teach science research. It takes a lot of time outside of the school day and I also tutor every week, every weekend.

Amberly:
Excellent. And you mentioned you’re in a step system, so what is your current salary?

Kat:
My current salary is around 87 to 88,000 and if I add my stipend as a research teacher, then it’s closer to like 90,000.

Amberly:
Excellent. Congrats on that. At 30 years old, that is awesome. Really, really great.

Mindy:
I wasn’t making $90,000 at age 30.

Kat:
I think New York State is one of the highest paid teacher salaries, so I do think I have advantage in that regard, but we also are one of the most expensive places to live. So

Mindy:
I was just going to ask, would you characterize your area as high cost of living or medium cost of living?

Kat:
I would characterize it as medium to high. It’s hard for me to compare it when I’ve only really lived in New York, but I remember traveling to a few other places and I was like, this is still pretty expensive in places around the country where I thought things would be cheaper. So I would say definitely it’s not New York City prices where I live, but it’s very close to that. Yeah.

Mindy:
Kat, what is your retirement goal?

Kat:
My retirement goal, kind of a rough goal of being able to retire by around 45. I know that I will need, if I was to completely retire about 1.2 million, that is based on the 4% rule that you guys talk about a lot. It’s all kind of estimates, but

Mindy:
So 1.2 million, that is a great number. Let’s look at your actual numbers right now. I’ve got a net worth of $388,000. That’s pretty awesome for a teacher. That’s pretty awesome for somebody in their early thirties that’s pretty awesome all the way around for just an American at any age, at any salary because Americans are more paycheck to paycheck. So that’s broken up into $40,000 in a 4 0 3 B, $16,000 in a Roth. IRA $11,000 in a brokerage account, $2,000 in a 5 29 plan. I do see $42,000 in cash. I’ll ask you about that in a little bit. And I see about $300,000 in home equity, two 50, 300,000 depending on that. So currently I don’t think that you have enough to retire, but you’re not trying to retire at 32, you’re trying to retire at 45. So we do have a timeline horizon that I think is pretty doable, especially because you’re making $90,000. Let’s look at all the income. Do you and your partner combine finances

Kat:
At this time? We do not. He contributes to my mortgage because the house is in my name currently and we kind of do every other for groceries, so he pays me essentially as part of taking off some money from the mortgage.

Mindy:
So I see a grand total of household income of 134,000, but since you don’t share expenses, let’s say 90,000 for you plus $2,000 into 10 99. Is that the tutoring that you were talking about?

Kat:
Oh yeah, that is the side tutoring.

Mindy:
Okay. And then I see $900 in other income. So that is what, 92? 93,000. That’s great. Current expenses, I have 36 0 1, so we’ve got the mortgage payment of 800 groceries of 400 restaurants at 300, entertainment at $9. Slow down. Kat, I don’t know what you’re doing with that nine whole dollars, but come on, you’re trying to reach financial independence 150 for travel, 300 for utilities, $20 for clothing, 400 for shopping 122 for insurance. I don’t see anything really crazy in these expenses and I’m going to do some quick math here. Times 12 is 43,000. You’re in $93,000 and you’re spending 43,000. I think you’re doing okay. I see debts of $14,000 at 0% interest. I wouldn’t pay that off any sooner than you had to or any sooner than that 0% interest would go away. I do see a pension with a potential value of $99,000 a year. That’s nothing to sneeze at except you’re only seven years into what a 20 year commitment.

Kat:
It would be actually 32 more years of teaching in order for me to get that at the current pension system that I have. So that is part of my motivation for looking into if I can fire, I do think that there’s a likely chance that we’ll change because our union in New York state is pretty strong and so they’ll try to get that to 55, which is where tier four teachers are currently at. But I don’t know, so I want to make sure I’m taking care of myself so that if I don’t want to work until I’m 62 and they don’t change it, then I don’t have to.

Mindy:
Now we need to take a quick add break, but listeners, I am so excited to announce you can now buy your ticket for BP Con 2025, which is October 5th through seventh in Las Vegas Nevada. Score the early bird pricing for $100 off your ticket by going to biggerpockets.com/conference. While we’re away, welcome back to the show. We are joined by Kat. I’m going to read a quote that comes from your application. I realized what I really want is time freedom more than anything else. So one of your questions for us was, is it silly to retire at 45 when I could be a lot wealthier if I waited another 10 years? No, it’s not silly to retire at 45, even though you could be wealthier. You know what? You’d be even more wealthier if you waited another 20 years and you’d be even more wealthier if you waited another 30 years.
You could just work forever. You want time freedom. You are seven years into a 39 year commitment. I don’t think I would be looking at that pension as something that I was going to be able to collect. I would be putting it to the side should the rules change and you are able to collect even a dollar from it. Yay. And that is where my pension knowledge ends. So I am going to send you on a little homework assignment. Oh, you’re a teacher. Here’s homework for you. Episode 2 59 of the BiggerPockets Money podcast. We spoke with somebody who, he’s anonymous. He goes by the name Grumps Maximus and he talked to us all about pensions, how to value your pension, how to see if it’s even worth pursuing, and it’s been a minute since he shared all of that. I’ve recorded, I dunno, 400 episodes since then.
So I don’t remember all of the things that he shared with us, but luckily we recorded it. So you can go and listen to that episode and start doing a little bit of homework on your pension. Talk to your HR department or whatever the equivalent is and ask them what happens if I don’t retire at 55? What happens if I retire at 45? Is there an age minimum where if I don’t work until that age I don’t get anything at all and then I would just not even worry about this or consider this pension right now and everybody listening who has pensions were like, no, it’s worth money. Great. I’m sending her on a homework assignment so she can determine how much this is worth. But I think first of all, at age 31, you’re in a great financial position, your goal is to retire in 14 years. I think that’s doable. You asked what age should you stop contributing to your 4 0 3 B and instead put it into a brokerage account. Amber Lee, do you have any information, any ideas about that?

Amberly:
Well first of all I wanted to ask and step back here and say in retirement, do you expect your expenses to stay the same? Because when I’m looking here at your number of $1.2 million, that is about $4,000 a month in take home, essentially pay for yourself to cover those expenses that are now at $3,600. So there’s only about a $400 buffer. What are you thinking about for your expenses when you’re approximately 45 years old?

Kat:
I think that my goal is to pay off my mortgage by then, so that should lower my monthly payment by about a thousand dollars. So it would free up a thousand dollars. I would like to retire after I pay off my mortgage so that that’s taken care of. Yeah,

Amberly:
I have to ask, I know dogs are life. Are you planning on adding any other creatures or spawn to your life in the next 15 years?

Kat:
Yes, thank you for asking. That is a big part of the equation is whether or not I add spawn to my life and I don’t know, I undecided, I did start a 5 29 as Mindy read out before and part of that was maybe I would one day and I want to make sure it’s the spawn would be ready. I don’t know why I’m still calling them a spawn, but I’m not convinced of that because I have a great life and I love my current dogs. So yeah, right now I’m planning as if I’m not having kids and I’ll just donate that 5 29 to a kid in need, but it’s a possibility I don’t know what the future holds for me.

Amberly:
Perfect. Yes, I wanted to know that just because kids always change the equation if we do end up going that direction, but with life you can pivot every single time something new jumps in, that’s when you take a look at the environment that you’re in and say, Hey, is this still my goal or does my goal change based on the new inputs? So I think that’s okay and it’s okay not to know right now and we’ll just continue moving forward as if it’s a no and then you can make a choice later on. Alright, when you’re saying you’re going to pay down your mortgage so that you’re mortgage free in about 15 years, I’m looking at you’re going to be spending about 15,000, $16,000 a year of that salary to pay that down over the next 14 years. So that’s going to take a lot of a big chunk of change. Is there an emotional reason that you want to pay this down or is it just financial so that you don’t have to be responsible for it to when you’re fi?

Kat:
I think it’s both. I think I detest having a loan out especially, it’s such a big number. It was shared earlier that I have this net worth but of 300 and something thousand but when so much of it is in my house and not in paper, I’m just like, let’s just pay off the house, which I think is emotional response and doesn’t add more to the paper. But yeah, so I think it’s emotional and I also think that it would make me feel more free when I am retired early potentially to not have to have a mortgage payment.

Amberly:
Yeah, completely understand. I think when you look at the math when it comes to whether you should pay down your mortgage early or not, it really does rest on interest rate and then we can look at emotions as well with an interest rate of 3.1%. I believe that’s what it was. That’s quite low, especially if you’re going to compare that to putting money in the market and you have such a tight horizon for what you want that money for, how long you have to start putting money into the market. I actually might recommend that you don’t pay down your mortgage super early. It may be a little bit earlier than you were planning on it, but maybe not putting a lot of money towards it and instead redirecting that money towards not only your retirement accounts but perhaps a brokerage account. And I think we’re going to get into that in a second here, so just something to think about if it is an emotional reason, I always say emotions, Trump finances, so I can understand why you do that, but it may be something just to take a little bit more of a reflection on and perhaps continue to keep your mortgage in later years.

Mindy:
Yeah, Amberly and I are both on team keep the mortgage but because you have a 3.125% rate, I think we should say that so that because not everybody is looking at your spreadsheets, Amber Lee and I have them in front of us and the 3.125% rate is not a rate that you are probably ever going to see again in your whole life and you can always pay that off later. You can put the money into a high yield savings account while you’re making your minimum payments and investing the rest because the point that I have is once you pay off your mortgage, that money is locked into your house. Sure you can pull it out with a home equity line of credit, which is currently at eight or 9% interest. I don’t like paying eight or 9% interest because I’m cheap, so I would want to put that in a high yield savings account so I have the option to take it and throw it all at the mortgage when I’m ready to retire and say now I’m retiring mortgage free. Or I can look at it and say, wow, I’ve got that money to pay the mortgage. I am going to instead invest it or I’ve grown all of my other buckets so I don’t really need to pay that off. You have more options when you have a big bucket of money, so I like the idea of paying extra to a mortgage until I see that 3% rate.

Kat:
Thanks. Yeah, I see that and I started shifting just within the last month because I’ve been drinking your podcast and I’m like, oh, I’ve heard you give that advice to someone else before, and I’m like, yeah, I do have a low interest rate and I don’t have a ton of cash availability and I don’t want to do the middle class trap that I know you guys are very passionate about, so I appreciate your passion.

Amberly:
I have a second question because Mindy had asked me when does she stop contributing to her 4 0 3 B? Because that is your question. Here’s my other question for you. How much a year do you contribute to both your Roth IRA and your 4 0 3 B? Do you know separately?

Kat:
That’s a great question. I know I was contributing about 400 a paycheck to my 4 0 3 B, so that roughly that’s twice a month, so maybe about 10,000, but I’ve since upped it because I have my security money if you will, so I can now contribute more. So I’ve been contributing recently closer to $900 a month, sorry, a paycheck to my 4 0 3 B and some of it is post-tax or yeah, I think it’s called post-tax when I’ve already been taxed on the money. It’s like a 4 0 3 B Roth if that resonates and then I contribute, I max out my Roth IRA. So

Amberly:
7,000 a year for 20 24, 20 25,

Kat:
Yes,

Amberly:
We have to take one final ad break. We’ll be back with more from Kat after this. Thanks for sticking with us. I did some calculations for you because this is a really difficult question of when to stop contributing to your retirement accounts and instead move towards your brokerage accounts because you can use your retirement accounts, you can only use after a certain time without penalty and it’s a 10% penalty. Sometimes it’s worth it to take the money out. I know some bloggers have done some blogs about that and it’s kind of a wash sometimes. So the other one is moving money into your brokerage accounts so you can use that money now and then rely on your retirement accounts later. So let’s just say, I’m going to say in 14 years you continue to use your Roth IRA as you funnel $7,000 into it. I’m sure it’ll go up over time for the amount, you can do it per year, but in 14 years you’re going to have $217,000 in it.
At that point you might say I am never going to contribute another dime to it because you’re no longer employed, you maybe don’t have earned income, so you can’t and you’re just going to let it sit there for the next 20 years. So then you’re 65 years old when you’ll actually start pulling in your Roth out, you’ll have $1 million. So we know with the 4% rule, you’re going to have $40,000 a year at 65 just from your Roth IR, not including your 4 0 3 B. So with that and your 4 0 3 B, you’ll have for sure hit your fine numbers at 65, right? I mean way over that moment or in that time because well, I’m going to do the same calculation. Let’s just say with that lower amount, $10,000 a year for your 4 0 3 B in at 65 you’re going to have 1.1 million. So essentially you’ll have $80,000 a year from those two accounts alone, not including a possible pension or any social security work from work you do outside of teaching in the future if that’s what you decide to do, take on some sort of side job.
So when we’re thinking about that, it might mean you’re over contributing. If you continue to put money into it over the next 14 years and maxo is out, I can’t say when you can stop contributing to your 4 0 3 B, I think it would be great for you some more homework to start doing some calculations to see what makes you feel comfortable to have at 65 and then that will show you when do you stop contributing to those accounts within the next 14 years and start moving towards a brokerage account. Mindy, do you have thoughts on that?

Mindy:
I love this. I want to give a little bit more context to what you’re saying. The rule of 72 is where Amberly got this numbers. These numbers from essentially the rule of 72 says that your investments at an 8% return will double every seven or eight years, so she has taken your numbers and just extrapolated that out. It is down and dirty math, it is absolutely not guaranteed. Past performance is not indicative of future gains, but it’s a great way to look at what your net worth will be in the future and that’s stopping after a certain amount of time with your contributions. She made mention that you can’t contribute to a Roth IRA if you don’t have earned income, you have a Roth 4 0 3 B, which makes my heart sing because all the Roth plans help you avoid the middle class trap. You can always access your contributions in a Roth IRA. You can’t access the gain you can at age, is it 55 or 59 and a half?

Kat:
59 and a half.

Mindy:
So then you can start accessing the gains. You’re a teacher. I’m wondering if you have access to a 4 57 plan.

Kat:
I don’t even know what that is.

Mindy:
That is another homework assignment for you to talk to your HR person about and just ask them, do we have a 4 57 plan? The 4 57 is a special plan essentially for go employees, like teachers who are where you can put the current 401k, 4 0 3 B contribution limits into your 4 0 3 B and those same current ones into your 4 57 plan. So if the limit is 23,000, you can put 23 into your 4 57 and an additional 23 into your 4 0 3 B for a grand total of 46,000. But wait, there’s more. Once you no longer work for that company, you can start accessing your 4 57 accounts with no penalties. If there are traditional 4 57, then you have to pay taxes on the money that you’re pulling out. But if they’re a Roth 4 57, you’ve already paid the taxes, you can just start pulling that money out. So with a partner who is perhaps able to help support you while you’re putting money into these 4 57 plans or just look at you’re making $90,000 a year and your expenses aren’t that high, maybe you could max out both or maybe you stop contributing to the 4 0 3 B in favor of the 4 57 because when it comes time to pull money out on the 4 0 3 B, you’ll have to pay penalties, but on the 4 57 you won’t.
So that’s another homework assignment for you. Do you have a 4 57 and do you have a Roth 4 57.

Kat:
Okay, got it. Wrote down my homework. Yes, teachers appreciate it.

Mindy:
I love it. And you also want to know what your pension amount would be if you retire at 45 because I do think that you would get something, you definitely don’t get your full pension, but even if it’s half of what you would get at 55, that’s still a couple thousand dollars and who doesn’t like a couple of thousand dollars a month

Kat:
I’ll take it.

Mindy:
Yeah, exactly.

Kat:
Can I ask a question?

Mindy:
Absolutely. This is your show.

Kat:
I appreciate it. I love education. It’s just great and I promise you what you guys tell me here. I am telling my students too, so they get a science research and financial freedom education at the same time for me. They know I like getting off track sometimes, so this is good. I was wondering if the 4 57, does a 4 57 have tax benefits also? I guess that’s the point of a 4 57 rate and that would be why it’s better than a brokerage account.

Mindy:
So it’s not better than a brokerage account, it’s different than a brokerage account. A traditional 4 57 is just like a traditional 4 0 3 B or a traditional 401k in that you are reducing your taxable income by contributing to it. The Roth 4 57 plan doesn’t have the tax benefits. You’re not reducing your taxable income, but you’re paying tax now putting it in the account, it grows tax free and it’s the one account that you can access when you separate from service from that company without having to hit an age limit or an age threshold.

Kat:
Okay, that makes sense. And the fact that Amber Lee, you said I would have about $2 million between my 4 0 3 B and my Roth IRA. Is that with me still contributing the same amount every year until I hit 45 or is that just from my current holdings?

Amberly:
Great question. What I calculated was you are doing your Roth IRA and maxing out at $7,000 a year with an 8% interest for the next 14 years. Then you are doing zero contributions for the next 20 to get you to 65. Though we can do stew 59 and a half, so 60 years old, so 15 years instead of 20, which is a different number of course. So that’s how we got to that calculation. Same thing with your 4 0 3 B. It’s saying $10,000 a year, I’m not using that $900 a month every two weeks figure I’m using the 400 ish. So saying you’re contributing about $10,000 a year for the next 14 years and then at 14 years that sum is never going to get contributed to again with an 8% interest rate.

Kat:
Okay, got it.

Amberly:
Your rate of return may be different based on the government plans that you have to choose from. It just might not be the same as you have if you’ve got a Fidelity account with your IRA. You can choose from anything to invest in, but with government plans, I know sometimes they only have you limited selection for what you can invest in and so therefore your rate of return might be different than the general stock market depending on what you can invest in. When I don’t know enough about government plans since I don’t have one, I’ve just talked to a lot of government friends and they have mentioned that sometimes their choices aren’t as robust as the general market.

Kat:
I see. Yes. We have access to Vanguard and so I am investing in the general markets like the VU and the V-T-S-A-X. Thank you to the book. Oh my goodness. What’s the name of the book that everyone talks about?

Mindy:
The Simple Path to Wealth by JL College?

Kat:
That one? Yep. The Simple Path to Wealth. Thank you Mindy. And I was like, oh, that’s easy. I can just do that. I like simple and easy because I have a very busy life and I want to give all the time that I do have to my students, so thank you for the simplicity.

Amberly:
Perfect. Then using a seven or 8% rate of return will be perfect.

Mindy:
I think I misspoke earlier in the episode. The rule of 72, assuming a 7% interest rate will double approximately every 10 years using an 8% interest. I’m sorry, 8% rate of return. A 7% rate of return is approximately every 10 years. An 8% rate of return is approximately every nine years and a 9% of return is your money will double approximately every eight years and then if you get a whopping 10%, which is awesome, it will take approximately seven years to double. So it’s a great way to think about your future money. If we are in a crazy stock market where we had, I think one year we had a 22% rate of return, oops, I only hit one two, it’ll double every three years. Now we’re not going to hit three years of 22% returns. That would be super awesome, but that’s not a realistic number to think about. However, an eight or a 9% rate of return is absolutely doable. So I like to do 8% and do every nine years. That’s a great way to think about it because if it’s higher, great you might have that could be an average.

Kat:
Okay. Okay, that makes sense.

Mindy:
One other question you had for us is should I sell the stocks that I have that are in four specific stocks that have not been doing well? What is your reason for holding onto them?

Kat:
The reason I’m holding onto them is because I know you’re not supposed to sell when low, but I don’t know anything other than that. So I don’t know when it would then make sense to sell because I don’t know what’s low and what’s not low other than when I went in. So I guess that would be what I would like it to get back to be at minimum. But

Mindy:
What if it never does? What if this is the highest it’s ever going to be? Do you want to own these stocks now?

Kat:
No, I think they make me feel uncomfortable because don’t, it’s a good amount of my money that I have accessible because I don’t have a lot of money accessible if you will. I have the 60 K overall in my savings for my 4 0 3 B and Roth and I have some savings in cash, but having $13,000 in these stocks, that’s maybe about 13% of my money. So it’s not nothing. Maybe if I had a much bigger net worth, I’d be like, yeah, it’s fine, I’ll just play with it. But I think because it’s a fairly sizable part of my wealth, maybe I should be doing something with it in order to reach my goals. But I also don’t know. I don’t want to be silly and sell one low like rule number one. Right. I don’t know.

Mindy:
Knowing what I know about these stocks, if I was in your position, I would sell them. They are $13,000. You have a 14 year timeline to reach financial independence and you don’t want to own these stocks. I would personally sell this is not a taxable event because you have lost money on these stocks. Correct. You bought them higher.

Kat:
Correct.

Mindy:
So you’re not going to be owing taxes on this. This is a time to maybe chat with somebody who is a tax professional who can look at this and say, Hey, this would be a great time to sell because you have some gains that you are going to put this up against, but you don’t want to own these stocks anymore then don’t own these stocks anymore. Amber Lee, what do you think?

Amberly:
One thing I always ask people whenever they’re feeling FOMO or some sort of missing out on individual stocks, my first question is, Kat, did you have a plan on when to sell these stocks when you bought them?

Kat:
No.

Amberly:
Great. So you went in blind, didn’t have a plan for what number it would hit to sell or what number it hit of losing to sell. So therefore no plan means you’re running blind and that’s a really anxious and scary place to be when it comes to individual stocks. So what I would say as Mindy asked, if you were offered these stocks today, would you go buy them?

Kat:
No.

Amberly:
Alright, we got a lot of nos here. So I think that probably means sell it, take the loss. It doesn’t mean you’re a failure, it doesn’t mean anything actually. It means that you tried something, you decided it wasn’t good, you got out before it got even lower or maybe even higher. It doesn’t really matter. And instead you’re going to put your money to work somewhere else.

Kat:
That makes a lot of sense. Yeah, thanks.

Mindy:
I love that. Okay. When I was reading off your numbers, I said, oh, you have $42,000 in cash. I’m going to talk about that again and this is me talking about it. Why is this money sitting in cash?

Kat:
Yes, I have 25,000. It’s actually in a cd. It might be a little bit higher right now because of the interest it’s earned in. Maybe it’s 26 or 27, so I can’t actually touch that for another five months or something. And then I have the loan that I said for $14,000 and I have about 14 or $15,000 in a high interest savings account that I’m just using to pay off the loan. So when I took out this loan, I knew I had the money for it, but I figured I could just make a little bit of interest and that would make sense. So I might as well just take out a loan because it was zero interest and I check that it gets paid every month because I do not want the 25% interest slapped on to and the minimum payment, it’s wild to me that they show you the minimum payment. It’s like, I don’t know, a few hundred dollars, but then you’ll be paying it for the rest of your life. So I’m like, yes, I do not want to keep this, but might as well get another thousand to $2,000 off from just having it in a high yield savings account.

Mindy:
Perfect. I love that answer because it shows you’ve been thinking about it. You’re not just doing something that you heard somebody say this one time. I love these conscious choices based on education and thinking things through the 25,000 in a CD that you can’t touch for five months. Do you have plans for that?

Kat:
I do, and I don’t plan to spend it on anything specific, but because I own a home that was built in 1911, there’s just always something and it often is quite expensive. I will say this is a brag moment. I built my own fence because they were asking for $15,000 and I was like, I am not paying $15,000. So I learned how to do that. I built my own couch. I learned how to do that so I to get around not spending money where I don’t have to, but the piping system, our plumbing is not great, so I might have to spend some money on that, but I’m hoping I won’t need a new car or anything for at least another 15, 20 years. If I’m like my mom, my car will last another. My mom’s car is now almost 30 years old, which is wild.

Amberly:
Yeah, no notes on that from me either. I think 25,000 is essentially a six month buffer for you for an emergency fund. You can also use it towards your house as you’re saying. So I probably keep something around there and having it in a CD or some sort of high yield savings account is exactly where that should be. Whatever makes you feel comfortable in regards to number of months for an emergency fund and you have a partner as well, so that’s really nice too because you can always rely on them a little bit if you needed something or something happened to your job. I have a question. Are you thinking of upping your income in any way by increasing tutoring hours or are you looking to live more right now?

Kat:
I will say my actions might be contrary to how I feel because I’m constantly taking on new tutoring positions. I think part of that is it’s so easy. Science is high in demand and I’m good at what I do or at least I would like to think I am. But that being said, I feel like between my position for work is very demanding and tutoring on the weekend and I usually do homework and prep before it and stuff. That takes a lot of my time. So I would like to say I would lower tutoring or I should do that for my mental health insanity, which would probably make it that I wouldn’t have to retire early. Yeah, I’m so focused on the financial freedom. I know the value now of compounding interest thanks to you guys. So I’m like, yes, let’s just get there. I want that freedom feeling, but I also hear you guys talk about all the time that it’s the journey and not just this end number, and it’s really hard for me to absorb that when I feel like I have no free time and I’m just working for other people, but I know I’m part of my own problem. So yeah,

Amberly:
Completely understand. As someone who loves to be busy, I get that. So it sounds like from what I’m hearing is that maybe increasing your income isn’t as necessary based on all the numbers that you have. It also might not be best based on your mental health and instead it might be really great for you to do those calculations we were saying so you can see what time to stop contributing to your retirement accounts and you can maybe even increase your spending just a little bit. Now if you are looking at what you’re putting into an actual brokerage account or a 5 57, as Mindy had said, so you can access that money at 45, but you might even have a little wiggle room to go and do more fun things as you’re saying you might want to do. What do you think, Mindy?

Mindy:
I think that we, Carl and I did it completely wrong. We plowed every dime we could into our retirement savings, into our brokerage accounts, into we were busy, busy, busy all the time. We’d do the live and flipping, so we would go before kids, we would go to work eight hours in some cases we were driving an hour each way to and from work and then come home and work another five hours on the house, go to bed, get up and do it all again. We didn’t enjoy our life and that is one of my biggest regrets because now I’m sitting on a nice PHI number that is more than I need and I could have been having so much more fun. Enjoy the journey because if it takes you, let’s say that you can crank it out and get there by age 45 or you can pull back just a touch, keep all the things that you love that mean something to you and now you have to retire at 46.
That’s a way better life. So I would encourage you to run your numbers. Look at the different options that you personally have. I love the Roth account because you’re paying taxes now and it’s growing tax free. You pull it out tax free whenever you decide to pull it out. The Roth ira, you can always pull out the contributions. I love the freedom that it gives you in the flexibility and what was that quote again? I realized what I really want is time freedom more than anything else. So I would just focus on what does that time freedom look like to you? If you could get away from the 40 hours of teaching or 38 hours of teaching per week, but then you could bring back tutoring for 10 hours a week and that covered your expenses, maybe that’s a great trade off or maybe that doesn’t quite cover your expenses, so you need to figure out another way to do it. Have you ever thought of making a science YouTube channel fun with cat science, fun with cat? There’s so many ways to make money online. If you love talking about science, talk about science. I’m probably not going to watch your show, but I will send my kids there.
But I think you’ve got a great foundation. You’ve got an amazing foundation for somebody who’s 30 years old, you’ve got a great foundation and I don’t see your goal of 45 or 45 ish to be something that’s like, oh my goodness, that’s never going to happen. I can see that as absolutely happening. Maybe it doesn’t happen at 45, maybe it happens at 46 or 47. That’s still way lower than 65. So you have all that time to go and enjoy your life with no job.

Kat:
Thank you for spending so much time chatting with me today and for the, I think definitely playing with the numbers will be fun, and it’s not about even all of this for me. It’s not about exactly stopping working at 45. I can’t even envision myself not doing anything as I feel like a lot of people in the fire community, not everyone, but a lot of people don’t exactly stop everything when they do fire. I think I’ll always be doing something, so I would probably have more of a barista fire if not for just being engaged with my brain and too much time by myself. I think I would lose my mind if I’m being honest. But yeah, it’s cool to know kind of where I’m at with things and what might be possible. And I’m definitely nowhere near having $425,000 invested, but I hear you on saying that what I want in life is more time and I’m already choosing not to do that for myself. So maybe if I change that, it would just make things more enjoyable

Mindy:
If you’re thinking about, oh, I’m not sure what I would do in retirement. Start a bucket list.

Amberly:
Well, Kat, any other questions for us?

Kat:
I think you guys answered all my questions. Thank you so much for your time and thoughts and this was so fun. I was so excited to meet you and you’re here, you’re real people. It’s great.

Mindy:
Alright, Kat, I really appreciate your time today. Thank you so much for coming on and sharing your numbers with us and we will talk to you soon. Alright, Amber Lee, that was a super fun episode with Kat. What did you think of the show?

Amberly:
Well, she’s super smart and is already thinking about her future and I just love that she’s not just thinking about her future, but she’s thinking about her past and what her parents were like and how she’s like today. And like you mentioned in the episode, what she wants to do with her life at 45 she should start doing today. And I think that she’s in such a great position to start funneling money towards her future, but also really focusing on maybe doing some fun things. What do you think

Mindy:
One of the best things that she’s doing is keeping her expenses low and that allows her so much opportunity. She’s got the opportunity to contribute to these other accounts. She’s got the opportunity to max out a Roth IRA, which I hope that she does. She’s got the opportunity to add in a little bit of fun spending because the delta between what she’s spending on her life and what she’s making is so vast. So I want to encourage people to keep everything in that means something to them. If you’ve got, you want to have breakfast every Monday with your daughter, then have breakfast every Monday with your daughter breakfast out. If you want to have a date every Friday night with your partner, then have a date every Friday night with your partner. Don’t cut things out in the name of, I want to get tophi as fast as possible because let me tell you I did and it’s not all that fun. The journey kind of stinks, so don’t do it like me. Be like amberly. Be like Kat will be soon and keep the fun stuff in your life.

Amberly:
My only concern for her is this pension. We don’t know enough about pensions to give all that much information for her, but retiring at 45 when a pension is 50% at 55, I’m really curious what that’s going to look like for her and she’ll be taken care of with the investing that she’s doing. I’m just so curious. I hope she gets back to us about what that actually is going to look like for her. If she were to leave work at 45 and hopefully all that time and energy she’s spent contributing towards, it does give her some sort of payback.

Mindy:
Yes, I hope it does. She has 14 years to figure it out and perhaps in 14 years she decides, you know what? It is worth it for me to stay an extra 10 years and get that much more in my pension. Maybe she has lost all of these things in her life that are making her feel so pressured with her time and now she truly enjoys only teaching or teaching and tutoring and she’s lost other things and we’ll continue on. That’s what’s so great about the beginning of the FI journey. You have a big horizon. I would encourage her to continue to revisit her numbers either quarterly or annually just to see where she is on track. I would also encourage her and anybody else listening, not to get too bogged down with dips. We are in a period of economic uncertainty right now. The stock market is reacting rather ly up, down, up, down. It’s kind of a roller coaster. So if that gives you a lot of nerves, take a step back and don’t look for a while. Look again in a month, look again at the end of next quarter, but keep an eye on your numbers to see where you’re going. Watch how they are progressing and how you like your life. If you don’t like your life and your numbers, keep going up, make some changes.

Amberly:
I agree with that completely. Thanks Mindy. That’s a really great summation.

Mindy:
Alright, Amber Lee, should we get out of here?

Amberly:
Let’s do it. Bye-bye.

Mindy:
Alright, that wraps up this episode of the BiggerPockets Money Podcast. I truly love these conversations with people who have retired before. It was cool before anybody wrote a blog post about it and I love Diana’s story. Thank you so much for joining me. My name is Mindy Jensen saying out I zoom, bloom.

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A generous dining space runs parallel to the kitchen. Against the wall is a bench seat containing drawers. The tall cabinet at the far end is one of a pair that bookend the bench. This one houses a boiler, while the other (out of shot) contains a tea and coffee station.

The cushions and artwork, in shades of blue, green and orange, bring dynamic color to the space, adding personality.

Sustainability is always a key consideration in Llogarajah’s projects. “Several existing elements were carefully integrated into the new design,” she says. Along with all the kitchen appliances and the sink, her design also incorporated the owner’s existing dining table and chairs to minimize waste.

“The design is tailored to seamlessly incorporate [all] these pieces, meaning the reused items feel intentional, as though they were always part of the overall scheme,” she says.



This article was originally published by a www.houzz.com . Read the Original article here. .


Inflation slowed to a 6-month low in March, largely driven by lower energy costs, especially in gasoline prices. Despite the easing, the report likely only captures part of the first wave of global tariffs announcement. The inflationary pressure from tariffs and escalating trade war continues to threaten the economic growth and complicate the Fed’s path to its 2% target. Meanwhile, while housing inflation remains elevated, it continues to show signs of cooling – the year-over-year change in the shelter index remained below 5% for a seven straight month and posted its lowest annual gain since November 2021.

While the Fed’s interest rate cuts could help ease some pressure on the housing market, its ability to address rising housing costs is limited, as these increases are driven by a lack of affordable supply and increasing development costs. In fact, tight monetary policy hurts housing supply because it increases the cost of AD&C financing. This can be seen on the graph below, as shelter costs continue to rise at an elevated pace despite Fed policy tightening. Additional housing supply is the primary solution to tame housing inflation and with it, overall inflation. This emphasizes why the cost of construction, including the cost of building materials, matters not just for housing but also the inflation outlook and the path of future monetary policy.

Consequently, the election result has put inflation back in the spotlight and added additional upside and downside risks to the economic outlook. Proposed tax cuts and tariffs could increase inflationary pressures, suggesting a more gradual easing cycle with a slightly higher terminal federal funds rate. However, economic growth could also be higher with lower regulatory burdens. Given the housing market’s sensitivity to interest rates, a higher inflation path could extend the affordability crisis and constrain housing supply as builders continue to grapple with lingering supply chain challenges.

During the past twelve months, on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index rose by 2.4% in March, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ report. This followed a 2.8% year-over-year increase in February. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the “core” CPI increased by 2.8% over the past twelve months, the smallest increase since March 2021. A large portion of the “core” CPI is the housing shelter index, which increased 4.0% over the year, the smallest year-over-year increase since November 2021.  Meanwhile, the component index of food rose by 3.0%, and the energy component index fell by 3.3%.

On a monthly basis, the CPI fell by 0.1% in March (seasonally-adjusted), after a 0.2% increase in February. This was the first time the monthly CPI has fallen since May 2020. The “core” CPI increased by 0.1% in March.

The price index for a broad set of energy sources fell by 2.4% in March, with declines in gasoline (-6.3%) offset by increases in electricity (+0.9%) andnatural gas (+3.6%). Meanwhile, the food index rose 0.4%, after a 0.2% increase in February. The index for food away from home increased by 0.4% and the index for food at home rose by 0.5%.

Despite the overall monthly CPI decline, several indexes increased in March including personal care (+1.0%), medical care (+0.2%), education (+0.4%), apparel (+0.4%), as well as new vehicles (+0.1%). Meanwhile, the index for airline fares (-5.3%), used cars and trucks (-0.7%) and recreation (-0.3%) were among the major indexes that decreased over the month.

The index for shelter makes up more than 40% of the “core” CPI, rose by 0.2% in March, following an increase of 0.3% in February. The index for owners’ equivalent rent (OER) rose by 0.4% and index for rent of primary residence (RPR) increased by 0.3% over the month. Despite the moderation, shelter costs remained the largest contributors to headline inflation. 

NAHB constructs a “real” rent index to indicate whether inflation in rents is faster or slower than core inflation. It provides insight into the supply and demand conditions for rental housing. When inflation in rents is rising faster than core inflation, the real rent index rises and vice versa. The real rent index is calculated by dividing the price index for rent by the core CPI (to exclude the volatile food and energy components).

In March, the Real Rent Index rose by 0.3%. Over the first three months of 2025, the monthly growth rate of the Real Rent Index averaged at 0.1%, higher than 0.0% from the same period in 2024.

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This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .


Sentiment declined among remodelers in the first quarter of 2025, following a similar trend last month in single-family home builder sentiment. The NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index (RMI) posted a reading of 63 in the first quarter, down five points compared to the previous quarter. While this reading is still in positive territory, this is only the second time since the first quarter of 2020 that the RMI has been as low as 63.

Tariffs and economic uncertainty were top-of-mind for consumers this quarter. Although almost all the data for the first quarter RMI were collected before the release of specific reciprocal tariffs, the debate and uncertainty over tariffs has had an effect on consumer confidence.   Moreover, remodelers responding to the special questions as part of the RMI survey reported that their suppliers have already increased prices by an average of 6.9% since January 20, due to the anticipated effect of tariffs. 

Nevertheless, strong tailwind factors, such as an aging population, aging housing stock, home equity gains post-COVID, and “locked-in” (definition) existing homeowners, will continue to keep remodeling spending solid for the foreseeable future according to NAHB’s forecast.  

The RMI is based on a survey that asks remodelers to rate various aspects of the residential remodeling market “good”, “fair” or “poor.”  Responses from each question are converted to an index that lies on a scale from 0 to 100. An index number above 50 indicates a higher proportion of respondents view conditions as good rather than poor.

Current Conditions

The Remodeling Market Index (RMI) is an average of two major component indices: the Current Conditions Index and the Future Indicators Index. 

The Current Conditions Index is an average of three subcomponents: the current market for large remodeling projects ($50,000 or more), moderately sized projects ($20,000 to $49,999), and small projects (under $20,000).  In the first quarter of 2025, the Current Conditions Index averaged 71, dropping four points from the previous quarter.  While the component measuring small-sized projects remained unchanged at 76, moderately-sized remodeling projects inched down one point to 72 and large remodeling projects fell 11 points to 64. However, all three components remained above 50 in positive territory.

Future Indicators

The Future Indicators Index is an average of two subcomponents: the current rate at which leads and inquiries are coming in, and the current backlog of remodeling projects. 

In the first quarter of 2025, the Future Indicators Index averaged 55, down six points from the previous quarter. Both subcomponents experienced decreases quarter-over-quarter, with the component measuring the backlog of remodeling jobs inched down one point to 58 and the component measuring the current rate at which leads and inquiries are coming in fell 11 points to 51.

For the full set of RMI tables, including regional indices and a complete history for each RMI component, please visit NAHB’s RMI web page.

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This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .


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One of the most widely known tax hacks in the real estate investing world is the 1031 exchange.  Chances are, if you’ve read the famed Rich Dad, Poor Dad, like countless other real estate investors across the country, you’ve heard of this wonderful provision in the tax code.

For those who haven’t heard of this powerful strategy, it gets its namesake from Section 1031 of the Internal Revenue Code (IRC). This particular section of the IRC allows a real estate investor to sell a property and defer capital gains so long as the proceeds from the property are reinvested into a different property. The trade-off for using this powerful tool is that there are some hoops that you have to jump through to ensure compliance with the law.  

We’ll dive into everything you need to know about exactly how a 1031 exchange works. We’ll even go through a detailed example of a 1031 exchange scenario that’s probably applicable to some people reading this article.

What Is a 1031 Exchange?

A 1031 exchange is a type of real estate transaction that allows you to defer paying capital gains taxes on a property that you sell so long as you reinvest the proceeds of the property’s sale into another like-kind property. To complete an exchange, you must identify a specific property you want to exchange it for and follow a number of rules in the process (which we’ll cover in a bit). 

There are several types of 1031 exchanges: forward, reverse, and improvement exchanges.

The forward 1031 exchange

A forward 1031 exchange is probably the type of 1031 exchange you’re most familiar with—these are the most commonly used, straightforward types of 1031 exchange. 

In a forward exchange, you sell your property, identify replacement properties, and then purchase one of these properties in that order. Potential replacement properties must be identified within 45 days of selling the relinquished property, and the entire transaction needs to be completed within 180 days of the initial sale. 

The reverse 1031 exchange

The reverse 1031 exchange is a bit different in that, well, everything is reversed. Instead of starting the process by selling a property, you first purchase the replacement property. Once the replacement property is purchased, you have 180 days to complete the sale of the relinquished property in order for the exchange to be valid.  

Reverse exchanges are less common but are often quite handy in a seller’s market when a great deal pops up and you’re not ready to sell your property quite yet.

The improvement 1031 exchange

Another great way to take advantage of Section 1031 is the improvement exchange. This type of 1031 exchange allows you to use the tax-deferred proceeds of the sale of your property to make improvements (as the name would suggest) to the replacement property.  

Improvement exchanges typically work similarly to a forward exchange, with the one major difference being that you don’t just have to purchase the property within 180 days. You also have to identify (and complete) all the improvements that the sale proceeds will be paid for within that same window.

1031 Exchange Rules and Regulations

Regardless of which type of exchange you decide to do, there are some standard 1031 exchange rules you need to follow in order to successfully defer your taxes. Here are some of the most prominent rules and regulations to give you a quick primer. 

What qualifies for a 1031 exchange?

The first, most basic rule is that the transaction you’re doing must qualify for a 1031 exchange.  The property you’re selling must be used for business or investment purposes. 

This means primary residences are not able to qualify for a 1031 exchange. Additionally, properties held in inventory are not eligible for a 1031 exchange (this mainly applies to real estate developers).  

One pro tip: If you have a vacation home you rent out for fair market value at least 14 days per year, and you stay at that home for less than 14 days per year (or 10% of the time the property is rented out, whichever is greater), your vacation home is eligible for a 1031 exchange.  

The like-kind property rule

Another rule that must be abided by is the like-kind property rule. This rule often confuses people, as they interpret “like-kind” to mean that they must buy another hotel if they are selling an existing hotel through a 1031 exchange; however, this isn’t the case. The like-kind rule states both the relinquished property and the replacement property must have the same territory and purpose.  

This means if you are selling a property in the U.S., you must replace it with another property in the U.S. Additionally, if you’re selling an investment property, you cannot replace it with a property that will be used as an office for your business. Instead, you must replace it with another investment property.

Prior to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2017, this rule used to be more strict on what’s considered “like-kind,” but for now, all real estate is considered like-kind to all other types of real estate. 

The same taxpayer rule

By the same token, you must also abide by the same taxpayer rule. This rule simply states that both the relinquished property and the replacement property must be sold/purchased through the same taxpayer. This helps the IRS ensure there is continuity of investment. If the parties selling the relinquished property and buying the replacement property are different, your 1031 exchange will automatically be disqualified.

If, like most investors, you own property as an individual, in a trust, or in an LLC, this is usually very easy to navigate.

Avoiding constructive receipt

In a 1031 exchange, it’s crucial to avoid what’s known as “constructive receipt” of the sale proceeds to ensure you can defer taxes. Constructive receipt happens when you, or someone acting on your behalf, has control over the money from the sale of your property before the exchange is complete. 

This doesn’t just mean physically holding the money; it also includes situations where the money is available for you to use, even if you haven’t actually touched it.

For example, if the title company sends you a check for the proceeds from the sale of your property, you are considered to have constructively received the money. This would disqualify your 1031 exchange because the IRS sees it as having control over the funds.

To successfully complete an exchange, the law says you must use a qualified intermediary to handle the funds. This party will hold the proceeds from the sale and ensure you don’t have access to them until the replacement property is acquired. This way, you maintain the tax-deferred status of your exchange and avoid any issues with constructive receipt. 

The 45-day identification period

One of the most important regulations in a 1031 exchange is the 45-day rule, which states you have 45 days to identify your replacement property/properties when doing a forward exchange. The 45-day period starts ticking the day you sell your property, ending at midnight on the 45th day.  

The law adds some hurdles when it comes to identifying property, making it clear that an exchange is being performed and investors do not have an open-ended ability to delay their tax bill. Having a basic understanding of these rules will help you plan for a successful exchange. 

The identification rules

When doing a forward 1031 exchange, you need to identify potential properties that you may purchase after the sale of the relinquished property.   

You can’t make a simple mental note that you might be interested in purchasing said property. Instead, you must submit a signed letter that identifies it as a potential replacement property and includes all the pertinent property details. The regulations say this signed letter must then be delivered to someone who isn’t the taxpayer or another disqualified person before the end of the 45-day identification deadline. The person this letter is typically delivered to is the qualified intermediary.

There are also rules around how many properties you can identify and how many you need to purchase as part of your exchange:

  • The three-property rule: This states that when you’re performing a 1031 exchange, you can identify up to three potential replacement properties of any value. You can then purchase any single property or combination of properties to fulfill the exchange requirements.
  • The 200% rule: If you decide to identify more than three potential replacement properties, the cumulative fair market value of these properties must not exceed 200% of the fair market value of the property you’re selling. To fulfill exchange requirements, you can purchase any single property or a combination of these properties as replacements.
  • The 9% rule: Lastly, the 95% rule applies if you do not meet the conditions laid out in the above two rules. If you identify more than three properties and their cumulative value exceeds 200% of the value of your relinquished property, then under the 95% rule, you must purchase 95% or more of the identified replacement properties before the end of the exchange. As you might have guessed, this rule is very seldom used, but still very important.

The 180-day purchase period

The other important timeline you’ll have to adhere to is the 180-day purchase period. This rule states you have 180 days from the date you sold the relinquished property to complete your 1031 exchange. It means you have to identify properties, make a deal, and close on the new property/properties, all within 180 days!

State-specific rules and regulations

As if things couldn’t get more complicated, it’s important to note that all these rules and regulations are federal rules and regulations. Many states have their own rules and regulations that need to be followed in addition.  

States like California have complex 1031 exchange rules. Others, like Arizona, have fewer rules and states like Florida, Texas, and Nevada don’t have income taxes, so there typically aren’t any state-level gains to defer.

A good, qualified intermediary can help you and your tax professional navigate the withholding and filing requirements at the state level. 

What Is a Qualified Intermediary?

Your qualified intermediary is a unique, important part of your 1031 exchange team. They will act as the facilitator for your exchange, ensuring your exchange moves along according to schedule and that you don’t receive constructive receipt of the funds at any point throughout the transaction.  

Qualified intermediaries have to meet stringent requirements laid out by the IRS, which is why investors tend to work with firms that specialize in being qualified intermediaries for 1031 exchanges, like Deferred.  

Who can be a qualified intermediary?

The IRS says a qualified intermediary is required to be an independent party that is impartial to the transaction. The rule of thumb here is that anyone who has acted as a taxpayer’s “agent” within the two years leading up to the exchange cannot be a qualified intermediary. This means your friends, relatives, attorneys, accountants, and real estate brokers do not meet the standards to be your qualified intermediary.

1031 exchange fees: What does it cost?

Although qualified intermediaries used to be very expensive, costs are actually coming down.  It’s a little-known secret that qualified intermediaries charge a fee, but they earn most of their revenue from the interest earned while holding your funds. 

Companies like Deferred offer no-fee exchanges and, in many cases, even share the interest generated from holding your money during the exchange. Based on our 2021 survey, the median cost for a forward exchange was $950

A 1031 Exchange Example

To illustrate how a 1031 exchange works, we’ve outlined a case study of a simple forward exchange. This example is a scenario countless real estate investors run into every year.

Purchasing a property

For the sake of this example, we’ll say that a real estate investor named Adam gets his start in the real estate game by purchasing a $500,000 duplex in the great state of California. To purchase the property, he puts $100,000 down and gets a mortgage of $400,000 to cover the rest of the purchase price. This means his property cost basis starts off at $500,000.  

Owning, operating, and depreciating your property

After Adam purchased his property, he rented it out to two great tenants and collected rent from them every month throughout his ownership of the property

Let’s say that Adam held on to the property for six years and was able to depreciate it by 20% (a rough estimate for easy math later on). Since he depreciated the property by 20%, his new cost basis on the property is $400,000.

Although Adam enjoys being a landlord, he’s ready to step his game up to the next level. His property has appreciated quite a bit over the past six years, and it’s now worth $1 million, so he’s keen on selling it to finance the next one.  Adam then starts looking around for a larger six-unit property that’s in the $1.5 million price range.  

Calculating the tax implications of a traditional sale

Throughout his research and due diligence, Adam realizes he’s got a bit of a problem: If he sells his duplex using a traditional sale, he’ll owe a lot of money to both the IRS and the state of California.  

Since his property has appreciated so much and he’s depreciated the property by 20%, he finds out that he’ll have $500,000 in capital gains and $100,000 in depreciation recapture to pay taxes on if his property sells for $1 million. His potential tax bill for a traditional sale is as follows:

  • Federal depreciation recapture tax (25%): $100,000 x 25% = $25,000
  • California depreciation recapture tax (9.3%): $100,000 x 9.3% = $9,300
  • Federal capital gains tax (assuming 35% bracket): $500,000 x 35% = $175,000
  • California capital gains tax (assuming 13.3% bracket): $500,000 x 13.3% = $66,500
  • Net investment income tax (3.8%): $600,000 x 3.8% = $22,800

This would bring Adam’s total tax bill to a whopping $298,600 on a $1 million sale and paying off the $400,000 mortgage, which leaves him with $301,400 after paying both his tax bills, nearly cutting his net proceeds in half. Using his $301,400 in proceeds as a 20% down payment can still get Adam to his $1.5 million target purchase price, but it would be tight.

Instead, he can use a 1031 exchange to defer his capital gains taxes and reinvest all $600,000. This means he can put 40% down on a $1.5 million purchase and increase his cash flow. He would also have the option to scale up to a $3 million property if he found something great, giving him a lot of flexibility. 

Performing the exchange

Once Adam has a plan in place, he gets the ball rolling and works to complete his exchange. 

Assemble the 1031 exchange team: Now that Adam has crunched the numbers on the sale of his existing property, he decides the 1031 exchange is the way to go, so he informs his real estate agent, real estate attorney, and accountant that he’ll be using a 1031 exchange to sell his property. He does this just to make sure everyone is on the same page and well-informed.  

Adam then does some due diligence and seeks out a great qualified intermediary (QI) after realizing that they are one of the most important pieces in the 1031 exchange puzzle, and sets up some meetings to interview prospective QI firms.  

Sell the relinquished property: Now that Adam has all his ducks in a row, he starts the selling process for his existing property. He lists the property and receives an offer for the $1 million he was expecting to sell it for. He graciously accepts the offer and informs his team of the prospective closing date.  

His QI takes possession of the sale proceeds, collects their fee from the deposit, and patiently waits for Adam to find his next property while the QI earns interest.

The 1031 exchange and identifying potential replacements: When Adam closed on his duplex, that started the 45-day identification window. He knows he doesn’t have a lot of time, so he and his real estate agent started touring properties before his sale closed. 

He found several six- and eight-unit properties in the same neighborhood where he sold his duplex. They crunch the rental numbers and find three fantastic potential replacement properties. He then informs his QI of these properties promptly and in writing and starts making some offers.

Completing the exchange: Adam decides he wants to go bigger with the extra cash in hand, and after some negotiation, his $2 million offer is accepted on an eight-unit property! He works with his inspector and loan officer to clear his contingencies and, with his funding in place, moves to close on the property on day 120. Closing goes off without a hitch, leaving Adam with more rental units, more cash flow, and an extra $300,000 in his pocket from deferring his taxes.



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America could be facing months of stagflation—a combination of high inflation, high unemployment, and slow economic growth—in light of President Trump’s economic policies. That’s according to former Federal Reserve president Bill Dudley. This means that for real estate investors, things could be about to get very bumpy.

In a Bloomberg opinion piece, Dudley wrote that across-the-board tariffs could wreak devastating economic effects as demand for U.S. products drops and inflation rises to 5%.

Dudley wrote that even if Congress approves tax cuts, the economy will likely have its foot on the brakes “because there will be a considerable lag, and because low-to-moderate-income families, which tend to spend more of their income, will be hurt by tariffs more than helped by tax relief.”

With the financial markets in free fall, on April 9, President Trump decided to suspend tariffs for 90 days on 75 trading partners who have not retaliated—but left the effective 125% tariff on China in place. Given that it’s a 90-day pause, it’s possible that they will be resumed, so the scenarios laid out here are still possible, but news is becoming outdated as fast as ever.

“The Optimistic Scenario”

Stagflation occurs when inflation increases in a cooling economy, bringing with it a perfect storm of economic woes with no immediate solution and putting central banks in a no-win situation. Should they increase interest rates to lower inflation, they stifle economic growth, causing the real estate market to come to a grinding halt. And if they cut rates to stimulate investing, house prices will skyrocket, causing a greater affordability crisis. 

“All told, stagflation is the optimistic scenario,” Dudley said. “More likely, the U.S. will end up in a full-blown recession, accompanied by higher inflation.”

Vaporizing Wealth

The staunchly conservative Wall Street Journal weighed in on the threat of stagflation in March before the tariff announcement. On April 6, the paper stated, “President Trump announced the highest tariffs in more than a century, vaporizing more than $6 trillion of wealth in two days.”

Fed chairman Jerome Powell said that the tariffs were “larger than expected,” and their immense scale made it especially important for the central bank to understand their economic effects before taking action. On msnbc.com, Jared Bernstein, former chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, wrote that stagflation “is a particular challenge for the Federal Reserve. To counteract slower growth, Fed officials can lower the benchmark interest rate they control. But to counteract inflationary pressures, they typically raise rates. Faced with stagflation, what’s a central banker to do?”

Powell and the President’s Collision Course

While Powell is wary of taking any knee-jerk reactions, President Trump is urging a rate cut, writing on Truth Social:

“This would be a PERFECT time for Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to cut Interest Rates. He is always “late,” but he could now change his image, and quickly.”

“CUT INTEREST RATES, JEROME, AND STOP PLAYING POLITICS!”

As Bloomberg suggests, it’s evident that Trump and the Fed could be on a “collision course” as the economic effects of the tariffs begin to bite.

Don’t Rely on Rate Cuts

For real estate investors, rate cuts seem like the panacea to solve all problems—even the increased construction costs brought on by tariffs and deportations. However, despite Trump’s urging, there’s no indication that is a path Powell is willing to take.

“After missing its target for many years, it would be a mistake for the Fed to dismiss the inflation fallout from tariffs as transitory and revert once again to stimulating the economy,” Rockefeller International Chair Ruchir Sharma wrote in the Financial Times

“This notion that the Federal Reserve is going to ease four times this year, I see zero chance of that. I’m much more worried that we could have elevated inflation that’s going to bring rates up much higher than they are today,” BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said on April 7.

The Effect on Real Estate

Stagflation will affect real estate investors differently, depending on their specialty. Overall, however, it’s hard to envisage any silver linings.

Construction 

The construction sector will be the first and most obvious sector to feel the brunt of the increased costs of materials. Expect an average-sized home to cost $9,200 or more to build, according to a recent survey of homebuilders.

“Lumber from Canada and gypsum from Mexico are important inputs to American homebuilding, and while it would not be a surprise to see the White House target these imports again in the near future, the immediate threat of the tariff announcement on American builders appears to be less severe than it could have been,” Realtor.com senior economist Joel Berner wrote.

House flippers and landlords looking to remodel their homes will certainly feel the effects of the tariffs and stagflation.

Landlords

Regardless of the state of the economy, people still need a place to live. If unemployment increases and the economy stumbles, which is what happens with stagflation, the housing required will increasingly need to be affordable. 

That broaches another thorny issue: How much will affordable housing cost to build, and if HUD jobs are lost and programs cut—threatened with federal layoffs—how will people be able to afford to live there?

Real estate agents

A poor economy and job loss affect everyone. One of the immediate casualties will be home sales. Fewer transactions mean fewer deals for real estate agents and brokerages.

Mortgage brokers

Less deal flow, coupled with a bad economy and higher inflation and interest rates, means fewer loans, which means mortgage brokers will feel the pinch. 

Final Thoughts

Is there an upside to the stagflation predicted by President Trump’s tariffs? Only if the tariffs work, and jobs and manufacturing exploded in the U.S.—meaning after a maze of negotiating with foreign countries, the U.S. comes out of pending trade wars with a robust economy. 

Many of President Trump’s usually loyal Wall Street allies, like JPMorgan Chase’s CEO Jamie Dimon and Pershing Square’s Bill Ackman, seeing their wealth fall off a cliff, don’t think that scenario is likely. They are sounding alarm bells about stagflation, with Ackman warning of an “economic nuclear winter.” Even Elon Musk called Trump’s tariff advisor “truly a moron” after he misspoke about Tesla.

Interest rates, too, have been on a roller coaster, first dropping after the tariff rates were announced, then increasing, and then rising again as economic fears set in.

“Despite the modest monthly increase, contract signings remain well below normal historical levels,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “A meaningful decline in mortgage rates would help both demand and supply—demand by boosting affordability, and supply by lessening the power of the mortgage rate lock-in effect.”

We can only hope for lower rates, but in the current economy, that seems highly unlikely. What does seem more likely is a lot of behind-the-scenes negotiation with different countries to lower tariffs and restore some stability to the market. No one wants to upset Wall Street for too long—even the president.



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The average American loses over half a million dollars ($524,625, to be exact) to taxes over their lifetime. And let’s be honest: The average BiggerPockets reader probably pays several times that. 

That puts a huge dent in your retirement nest egg over time. Then, when you actually do retire, you have to keep paying taxes, too. 

But what if you didn’t have to pay any taxes in retirement? How could you get away with that—legally—as a real estate investor? 

Try these tax strategies to avoid paying a dime in taxes on real estate investments in retirement. 

1. REITs (Held in a Roth IRA)

The simplest way to avoid taxes in retirement is to invest with a Roth IRA through your regular brokerage firm. You can open a Roth IRA with your brokerage of choice and then buy shares in real estate investment trusts (REITs) for free. No account fees, no transaction fees, nothing. 

This also means there are no taxes on the dividends in retirement, which is great because REITs typically pay high dividend yields and the IRS taxes dividends at the regular income tax rate. 

I personally no longer invest in REITs—not because of the risk or returns, but because they’re just too heavily correlated to the stock market at large. That defeats the entire purpose of diversifying your portfolio to include real estate. 

2. 1031 Exchanges

At 30, you buy a single-family rental property. At 35, you sell it and roll the profits into a fourplex. When you turn 40, you sell that and buy a 10-unit multifamily. And you keep upgrading your rental investments every five years until you retire at 65, at which time you own a 100-unit apartment complex that generates huge income for you every month. 

If you 1031 exchanged each of those sales and repurchases, you never paid a dime in capital gains taxes or depreciation recapture. You have to keep swapping out income properties while continuing to deduct for ever-larger depreciation write-offs.

In retirement, you live on the rents. Then you kick the bucket, and the cost basis resets, so your heirs don’t pay any taxes on the property either.

Don’t like being a landlord? Me neither. You can also invest in passive real estate syndications and keep upgrading those every few years as well, using 1031 exchanges. 

3. “Lazy 1031 Exchanges”

Personally, I find 1031 exchanges too much hassle. But I still love the premise. So, what’s a passive real estate investor to do? 

When you invest in real estate syndications, they typically come with huge write-offs in the first few years due to depreciation. Then, when the property sells, and you cash out with your profits, you owe capital gains tax and depreciation recapture. 

So? Just keep investing in new syndications, so the write-offs for the new ones offset the taxes on the sold ones. In the industry, we call this a “lazy 1031 exchange.”

You don’t have to fool around with qualified intermediaries, tight timelines, or identifying replacement properties. You just have to invest in new real estate deals in the same calendar year as an old one cashed out. 

That’s especially easy if you dollar-cost average your real estate investments like I do, investing a little in new ones each month. I invest $5,000 each month in new passive real estate investments through a co-investing club. Together, we often invest over half a million dollars, but each individual member can invest $5,000. 

Again, you can keep this going indefinitely until you shuffle off this mortal coil. Then the cost basis resets, and your kids inherit your investments tax-free. 

Oh, and you don’t have to create a self-directed IRA (SDIRA) either, which saves you money and hassle. 

4. Syndications (Held in a Roth SDIRA)

Let’s say you do want to cash these out entirely at some point and park the money in bonds, annuities, or some other “safe” retirement investment. And you don’t want to pay taxes when you do it. 

You can invest in real estate syndications through a self-directed IRA. Some syndications aim for “infinite returns,” where the operator refinances the property after a few years and returns your capital, but you keep your ownership interest in the property. In these cases, you keep collecting cash flow indefinitely—and you probably don’t want to pay income taxes on it. 

If you invested through a Roth SDIRA, you can keep reinvesting the original capital in new deals and keep collecting tax-free distributions from all of them. 

5. Notes and Debt Funds (Held in a Roth SDIRA)

I also like notes and debt funds secured by real property. But they typically pay interest payments, and Uncle Sam taxes interest at the regular income tax rate. 

Plus, you don’t get that juicy depreciation in the early years. Read: no lazy 1031 exchange. 

But if you invest in these secured debt vehicles through a Roth SDIRA, you can keep reinvesting that interest to compound tax-free until you retire and then collect all those interest payments tax-free to live on in retirement. 

In the latest secured note investment we’re making, we expect to earn 16% interest. By investing $100,000, you’d add $16,000 in annual income—all tax-free if you invest through a Roth SDIRA. 

6. Private Partnerships (Held in a Roth SDIRA)

I also love private partnerships on property investments. And you can invest in these passively through your Roth self-directed IRA as well

For example, last year, we partnered with a boutique spec home construction company to build a handful of houses together. We expect annualized returns between 18% to 23%. The entire investment will last around 18 to 24 months. 

You could keep turning that investment over again and again and again to keep compounding for high returns in your Roth IRA. 

Granted, those investments were partially financed with loans, which means your SDIRA custodian has to calculate UBIT. That’s not the end of the world, but not everyone wants that extra wrinkle.

Consider another example: We also partnered with a house-flipping company that does 70-90 flips each year. They fund flips entirely with cash: theirs and their partners’. Our partnership with them will flip as many houses as they can in an 18-month window, then close out the investment. It doesn’t require any UBIT calculations because no portion of the properties were financed

Again, you could keep rotating those investments over and over in your Roth IRA, compounding quickly and tax-free. 

7. Real Estate Equity Funds (Held in a Roth SDIRA)

Finally, you can invest in private equity real estate funds through your Roth self-directed IRA. 

Some investors I know used a Roth SDIRA to invest in a land-flipping fund last year. The fund consistently earns 30%-35% net returns and pays its investors a flat 16% annualized distribution (paid quarterly). 

Again, distributions are normally taxed at the regular income tax rate. But not if you invest through a Roth IRA. In that case, they simply grow your Roth IRA balance during your working years, and you can keep reinvesting the earnings. When you retire, you can start tapping all that income tax-free. 

As a final thought, you just don’t need as much money saved for retirement if you hold your investments in Roth accounts. When the government doesn’t pull 22%-37% out of your withdrawals, it doesn’t take as much money to generate the income you need. 

Get creative to invest in real estate for tax-free income in retirement. You can get away with a smaller nest egg—especially if you earn strong returns on your real estate investments. 

A Real Estate Conference Built Differently

October 5-7, 2025 | Caesars Palace, Las Vegas 
For three powerful days, engage with elite real estate investors actively building wealth now. No theory. No outdated advice. No empty promises—just proven tactics from investors closing deals today. Every speaker delivers actionable strategies you can implement immediately.



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Large multifamily, for the most part, has been an “uninvestable” asset for the past few years. Tons of new inventory hitting the market, short-term loans coming due, rising expenses, and stagnant rent growth are just a few reasons investors have avoided this asset like the plague. Even veteran multifamily investor Brian Burke sold off a majority of his portfolio when prices were sky-high. Now, the oracle of multifamily has come back to share why he thinks we have two years until this reverses.

Brian believes there’s a strong “signal” that sellers are about to get real, buyers will have more control, and rent prices will grow again. Could this be the bottoming out of the multifamily real estate market, or are we still years away from any recovery?

What about small “sweet spot” multifamily rentals or single-family homes? Are they worth investing in right now? Brian shares exactly which assets have the most (and least) potential and the recession indicators to watch that could throw the real estate market out of whack.

Dave:
The housing market is constantly shifting, driven, not just by mortgage rates and inventory, but by bigger forces like population trends, inflation, and long-term economic cycles. Today I’m joined by seasoned real estate investor and friend of the podcast Brian Burke, to explore what those macro and demographic shifts mean for investors and where the biggest opportunities might lie in 2025 and beyond. I’m Dave Meyer. Welcome to On the Market. Let’s get into it. Brian Burke, welcome back to On the Market. Thanks for joining us,

Brian:
David. It is great to be here once again. Thank you.

Dave:
Good. Well, I just really want to check in with you. You are one of the more astute observers of the real estate market of the economy, and since there’s so much confusing stuff going on, I just like checking in with sophisticated and smart investors and so now that I’ve complimented you enough, I’d love to just hear a little bit about what you’re thinking about the market, what’s on the top of your mind?

Brian:
There’s all kinds of stuff going on in the market, but what actually is the market, Dave? I mean there’s like a hundred thousand different markets. You’ve got different sectors of real estate, you’ve got different geographies, you’ve got different strategies. There’s always a strategy that works somewhere at some point in time, and that’s really the trick to real estate investing, I think is finding the right strategy in the right place at the right time because everything is doing all kinds of different things. So we’ve got a lot to talk about if we’re going to cover the market today.

Dave:
Yes, that’s a very good point and well said because totally right. There are seemingly always opportunities and you just need to find them. How are you working your way through all of the noise out there to sort of find the signal in the data and the news so that you can develop a cohesive strategy.

Brian:
A lot of it is looking at different sectors of real estate and where they’re at in the market cycle and what kind of factors are involved in investing in them. We did a show recently about small multifamily and we talked about benefits of investing small, and it’s kind of funny, just this morning saw an article that came out talking about where the action really is, and guess where it was Dave? It was in small multifamily.

Dave:
There you go.

Brian:
Okay,

Dave:
So you got that one right. See, that’s why I was calling you a smart investor. You got that one

Brian:
Right? Okay, there’s one, I guess I’m one for a hundred, we’ll call it that, but okay, here’s a great example. My core competency is in large multifamily, and that’s what I’ve been focused on for the last 20 years and I just can’t get behind it. It’s almost literally uninvestible right now. When you think about how you make money in real estate, a lot of times people talk about the spread between the cap rate that you’re buying at and the interest rate that you’re financing at, and the difference between those two is where you make your money. And I’m not saying subscribing that I fully believe in that theory. I think there’s a lot of errors and holes just in that belief, but assuming that that’s the case right now, multifamily cap rates are lower than borrowing costs, which means that you’re losing money under that thesis.
So trying to find a place to invest in real estate where you don’t have the deck automatically stacked against you, that’s the trick. And can you buy single family homes and cashflow them with interest rates where they are today? Is that perhaps a strategy? Small multifamily, if you can find a really good deal because you found a tired landlord or somebody that needs to get out of the business or a family that’s in inherited properties that have been owned for dozens and dozens of years by the same owner who’s done nothing to them to keep ’em up. There’s a lot of places you can find needles in haystacks, but if you’re looking at just broad strategy multifamilies, just one I really can’t get behind right now. I think there’s other places you can look.

Dave:
So tell me a little bit more. You’ve been on the show before. You’ve talked a lot about just sort of a discrepancy between what sellers are asking for and what buyers are willing to pay. Is that the main underlying reason you don’t like multifamily right now?

Brian:
Yeah. Here’s how I see this. Imagine that you live in a really small dinky town. It’s a hundred miles to anywhere. There’s no grocery stores in town. There’s no access for food whatsoever except for one restaurant and their food is absolutely awful.

Dave:
I’ve been to this town,

Brian:
Right? Yeah. So you’re really hungry. What are you going to do despite the fact that you can’t stand the taste, you’re going to eat it. And that’s what’s happening in the multifamily market right now I think, is you’ve got people that are eating that food, nothing else to eat. Now you’ve got a few people that live in town who have a few extra pounds and they’re like, you know what? I can survive without food for a while. I’m just not eating until there’s better food. I’m just not eating and they’ll live.

Speaker 3:
But

Brian:
Now here’s what happens. Somebody else finally opens a competing restaurant and then somebody else and then somebody else. Now you’ve got 10 restaurants to choose from and the business gets thinned out amongst all of them, and now nobody’s making any money. All the restaurants are going barely have any customers. And finally one of ’em says, I’m going to make really good food, then everybody’s going to come eat here. And they do that. And guess what happens? Everybody goes and eats and eventually the other restaurants see that and go, we have to make better food. So they all start making better food. And when they do, people come, even the people who are like, I’m not eating anything. They start to come. That’s what the multifamily market is like. The prices are way out of scale and people are paying it because there’s nothing else to eat. But as soon as you start seeing forced sales from lenders and owners who have loan maturities and all that, and all these properties start coming to market, they have to get legit on pricing or no one’s going there and everybody’s going to starve. So you’re going to see pricing actually come in line with reality because that’s what has to happen. That’s kind of the market situation that we’re stuck in right now. And it’s coming. If you look at loan maturities for this year
Is approaching a trillion dollars in commercial real estate. That’s what a t, that’s a lot of, I don’t even know how many zeros that is, but that’s a lot of zeros, and that means that there’s going to be things happening I think in the market that’s going to change the dynamic a lot.

Dave:
Yeah, absolutely. And I thought this would happen sooner. I’ll just be honest. I thought that we would see more distress in this market sooner. Is it just people have gotten good at kicking the can down the road and now we’re finally just at a point where people are going to have to face reality because rates didn’t go back down in the way that they had been hoping?

Brian:
Well, I kind of think so, but not quite. So they were never good at kicking the can down the road. They were just doing it to survive. It wasn’t doing it because this was good or this was this particularly brilliant strategy. What was happening was lenders were like, oh my gosh, the market’s terrible. If we foreclose or force a sale, we’re going to take a huge loss. We don’t want to report that loss to our investors and so on, so let’s just give them another year. And then so they give ’em another year, and then the other year comes up and then it’s like, okay, well if we can get the borrower to give us a million dollar principle pay down, then we’ll give ’em another year and then they can kind of kick this can. But here’s the part that I think a lot of people mistake is the lenders aren’t doing this to help the borrower, the syndicate or the syndicate investors or the owner’s investors,

Dave:
They’re not doing that. The kindness of their hearts

Brian:
Surprise, surprise, no, they’re doing this to help themselves. And the moment I’m telling you, the moment that things start to get to the point where the market’s improving enough, where the lender is assured that they’re going to get all or most of their principle back, they’re going to stop kicking that can down the road. And they don’t care if that means that the borrower is going to lose a hundred percent of their equity as long as they get their principle back. That’s the situation

Speaker 3:
You’re going to

Brian:
Find yourself in. So it isn’t a matter of like, oh, well the lender’s going to get tired of kicking the can or the borrowers are going to use up all their favors. This is simply just a matter of when the market gets good enough for the lenders, the lenders are going to put their foot down.

Dave:
That makes sense. And so it seems like you’re choosing not to eat. You got a little extra fat using your analogy here. So you’re choosing not to eat. When do you think the menu’s going to look appealing to you? Do you have any idea estimates of when things might look a little better?

Brian:
Yeah, well, my sayings that you’ve heard me say on this show before was end the dive in 25. So that means that I think that before prices can go up, they must first stop going down. So I think 2025 is the year that happens. Prices will probably stop going down, or at least real values will stop going down. There’s a difference between prices and real values. Real values will stop coming down. My other saying is it’s fixed in 26, and I think what that means is now that real values level off seller expectations, maybe because they’re under pressure, are going to align more with real values and allow transactions to take place. And then I’ve said Investor heaven in 27, meaning this is the point where you’re right at the cusp of when the market’s going to start to go back in our favor. So that’s still my timetable for now. Now I might have to come up with some new sayings if things don’t go the way I think, but so far I think we’re still on track for that.

Dave:
No, I like your sayings. As long as they rhyme I’m in.

Brian:
Yeah, yeah. It doesn’t matter if they actually

Dave:
Happen. I actually think that the logic is sound here. We do have to take a quick break, but when we come back, I want to get back to this small multifamily caveat or sweet spot that we’ve talked about a little bit and also get to the residential market as well. Please stay with us. Welcome back to On the Market. I’m here with Brian Burke. We are talking about trying to see the signal through the noise and the confusing economy that we’re in. We’ve talked a little bit about Brian’s bread and butter, which is the multifamily market, but we’ve also actually on the BiggerPockets real estate show, our sister show been talking about through this sweet spot that Brian talked about where multifamily maybe there is an opportunity in this five to 25 ish unit space. Tell us a little bit about why that subsection of the multifamily market is different.

Brian:
Well, I think the primary reason is the seller profile. So if you look in the large multifamily space, your seller profile is a professional real estate investor or group, well capitalized, sophisticated, this is their business, this is their daily bread and butter. The market is fairly efficient because you’ve got professional buyers who are in this market every day. You get into the small multifamily space and your seller profile is just different. You’ve got mom and pops, you’ve got families, you’ve got individuals, you’ve got owner occupants in some cases, a whole different seller profile who isn’t in this market every single day and they’re selling for their own personal reasons. There’s death, divorce, changes in strategy, all the different things that come into play. And when those people say it’s time to sell, they’re more inclined to do what they have to do to sell. Whereas your professional owner of a large property is like, oh, we think we should sell, but we’ve got enough capital. We’ve got access to capital to last longer, so don’t sell. Now. You don’t see that quite as much in the small multi space. And

Dave:
Are you seeing volume here? I get in theory that this makes sense and that there’s a good opportunity here, but so much of the problem these days is that even the things that logically makes sense, there’s just nothing out there to buy.

Brian:
Yeah, that’s true. And I’ve given up on smaller properties a long time ago, so I’m not as into the market’s inventory
As I probably should be to answer that question really accurately. I think it’s going to vary from market to market. But here’s the beauty of it is in the small multi space, you can actually stimulate deal flow. You can write letters, you can knock on doors, you can visit properties, you can call property managers, you can build relationships with management companies and see who their retired owners are. There’s a lot of things you can do to drum up deal flow that doesn’t really work as well in the large multifamily space. So if you can’t find deals out there, go make a deal.

Dave:
Okay. And do you have any advice on specific markets or things that people should be looking for because as you know, selfishly am interested in this asset class or subsection of the asset class, just like any nuts and bolts advice on how people could go about this since you think there is opportunity?

Brian:
Yeah, I think differently than when you’re thinking about larger commercial properties and people think about cap rate yield on costs, IRR, all these different things. As a smaller investor who’s trying to get started, think about flow and just think about what you buy these units for, what they rent for. If you were to improve ’em a little bit, what rent could you get? Subtracting out all the expenses and baking it down so that even at today’s borrowing costs, you’re making a positive cash flow. If you are able to do that, you’re able to play the time in market game versus the timing of market game,

Speaker 3:
Which

Brian:
I think works really well in this smaller space, especially if your timing is starting right now because you’re getting into a decent basis much better than you. I think if you would’ve been trying to do the same thing in say 2021 or 22.

Dave:
So basically, just to reiterate, you’re saying as long as you could sort of break even or hopefully do a little bit better, but as long as you’re cash flowing, that allows you to get into the market and take advantage of any potential growth and upside, but you’re protecting yourself and you’re not at risk of losing an asset because you’re not actually cash flowing at all and you’d have to come out of pocket to make things work

Brian:
And just make sure that you’re really cash flowing. And this is where a lot of newer investors get tripped up is they think like, okay, this is going to cashflow at this price because rents are going to be this or expenses are going to be that. If you’re unsure, always err to the side of caution and overestimate your expenses, underestimate your rent, anticipate capital improvements like resurfacing a parking lot or putting on a roof and things like that and ensuring that you’ve got the capital to accomplish those things. And you’ve got the cashflow to cover that type of stuff because what you don’t want to find yourself in is a negative cashflow situation or a situation where you’ve got to pull extra money out of your pocket to try to keep the building maintained in a condition adequate enough to attract and retain tenants.

Dave:
And that’s true of residential too for everyone. You have to be calculating this correctly regardless of whatever asset class you are looking at. Brian though, you said something about a lower basis, which is honestly one of the two things that gets me excited about this potential asset classes multifamily across the board down 10, 15, 20% depending on the market. The other thing though is the way I see it is that rent growth is probably going to resume again at some point in the future after years of stagnated or depending on who you ask modest declines in rent on a national basis. Do you also agree?

Brian:
I do. And you’ll find some markets have had rent growth all throughout this period in the Midwestern markets where there hasn’t been a lot of development, there’s been moderate rent growth throughout this entire period of the decline in values, especially across the Sunbelt. But the primary factor behind rent declines, negative rent growth and flat rents has been overactive development.
And so that has been a headwind for probably the last two or three years where multifamily new product deliveries have been at record highs that’s been making it difficult for owners of existing properties to have any pricing power because they’re competing against brand new properties who are offering concessions like a month and a half, two months free rent and that sort of stuff. This is part of the end, the dive in 25 and fixed in 26 scenario is these deliveries are starting to trail off. It’s extraordinarily expensive to build these properties and with the financing and rent growth forecast and all the other stuff, it’s getting really difficult to borrow, to build, and these new deliveries are trailing off, and that’s going to create a supply and demand imbalance again and give pricing power back. So I think rent growth is going to make a comeback. I don’t think it’s going to be as soon as some people think, I know some people think it’s going to happen right away. I think if we get second half of this year, we could see some at least flattening or leveling, maybe slight uptick in rents by next year. I think we start to see a little bit more sustainable rent growth and then I think by 27 it starts to get fairly robust.

Dave:
Yeah, I’m totally with you. I’ve heard very ambitious people say 10% rent growth next year. I am not there. I’m not there. I I just think that’s so anomalous. It happens a few years in history. I wouldn’t count on such a dramatic swing of the pendulum back in the other direction right

Brian:
Now. You saw that in 2020 right after Covid, but that was this unique unicorn where you had all these demographic movements into specific markets and those markets had astronomic rent growth coupled with Covid lockdowns that prevented construction in some markets and slowed down new unit deliveries and that sort of stuff. So those things are few and far between, but what happens to investors is it’s so recent in your memory you think, oh, we could easily get back there, but I’ve been doing this for 35 years. I mean, I’ve seen that kind of rent growth once in 35 years. Right, exactly. So maybe sometime between now and 35 years from now, maybe we’ll see it one more time.

Dave:
And honestly it would be good if you own it, but something has to go wrong for those types of growth patterns to occur. Like you said, if it only happens 3% of the years you’ve been investing Brian, something anomalous and weird is going on, and that usually comes with some trade-offs. It’s not usually like, oh, there’s this huge anomaly and everything’s wonderful. There’s usually something potentially negative or just some trade-off that exists to create those really unique conditions.

Brian:
And it also sets you up for reversal. And just as we saw after the 2021 rent growth, what happened after that? It fell off a cliff. That’s kind of what happens. Things revert back to the mean and the line on the graph gets too tall, it has to get back to the middle. And when it does that, that process is somewhat painful. When you see that kind of rent growth, to me, that’s not necessarily a sign to buy. It’s more of a sign to sell.

Dave:
Right? Yeah, because getting that irrational exuberance, you’re peaking, right?

Brian:
Yes,

Dave:
I totally agree. And I just think those past years are what you would call a pull forward. You’re basically taking all the rent growth from four years and pulling it into one year, and that’s what we saw. We had two years of really amazing rent growth and then three years of really bad rent growth to compensate for that. Obviously this should be self-evident to most people, but things just can’t go up forever at these clips. It just does not make mathematical sense. And so although I do think Brian’s sort of thesis here is right, get it in a good basis, cashflow break even, and then enjoy the benefits of time in the market, that totally makes sense to me. I just agree with Brian that don’t count on that rent growth happening all at once. It’s going to happen over the course of several years, most likely

Brian:
It will. And you’ll have different things that are going on during that period of time that you may have to overcome. I mean, the one thing about this business is it’s never easy, and another little saying I’ve always had is there’s always a good time to buy. There’s always a good time to sell, but they never occur at the same time.

Speaker 3:
And

Brian:
So right now is it a decent time to buy? Actually, I kind of think it’s neither a good time to buy or sell. That does happen at times and I think maybe next year, year after, it’s going to be a good time to be a buyer and then it’s going to be a really good time to be an owner as you ride that wave and then it’s going to be a good time to be a seller, right, when everybody thinks it’s a good time to buy, that’s probably about the time that’ll happen.

Dave:
I assume though, that that’s your take on multifamily or are you looping in residential there for not being a good time to buy as well?

Brian:
Not really. I think residential operates on a whole different plane. There’s not a run on residential construction in a lot of markets. Now there are some markets where you’re getting these massive buy to rent subdivision projects that are coming on and they’re building hundreds, maybe even thousands of homes as rentals and that is occurring in some isolated markets, but it’s not widespread. So I think you’ve got a different dynamic there. You also remember who is your end

Speaker 3:
Buyer

Brian:
To get you out of that investment is somebody that isn’t buying it because of the cap rate. They’re buying it because they like the way the kitchen flows to the dining room and it’s in the neighborhood close to their school. And those reasons give you a lot of liquidity and a pretty easy exit that you don’t have in a lot of multifamily investments. But again, it still boils down to the same thing. You’ve got to be able to calculate it out to cashflow. If you’re buying something that’s a negative cashflow, that’s not really investing in my opinion. It’s speculating and that’s a whole different animal.

Dave:
I totally agree, but I do want to sort of dig into more of the residential market and what you’re seeing there, but we do of course have to take one more break, but we’ll be right back. Welcome back to On the Market. I’m here with Brian Burke. We’ve talked about large multifamily and why Brian’s staying away. We talked about small multifamily and why that might be a more appealing option right now. And we got into a little bit of the residential market as Brian was talking about before the break. But Brian, tell me a little bit about how you view, I know this isn’t your bread and butter anymore, but how you view the prospects of residential investing right now.

Brian:
Yeah, so this one is really highly micro specific. In other words, you can go almost street to street across the country and have different real estate market conditions in the single family space. School district makes a big difference. Crime rates make a big difference. All sorts of different things are going to play a role. I had a goal when I was in my, I think late twenties that I said, you know what? I’m going to buckle down and I’m going to buy one rental house a year. That’s going to be my goal. And I never accomplished it, but I accomplished way more than that when I set that goal. But I think if anybody did that and accomplished it, timing does matter a little bit, but no matter what markets you’re in, you’re going to do way better in your later years in life than probably 90, 95% of the population. It is one of the greatest wealth builders and really just getting started is the primary thing. You’ve got to just get started and just set a goal and start after it. Now, time in the market is a big deal, especially in the single family space and for smaller investors who are just accumulating a small rental portfolio, you don’t get rich off of collecting rents on a three bedroom, two bath house
Even if you have 10 of ’em, but you will get very wealthy over time here. So time in the market really does matter, but timing also does matter. If you bought a bunch of rental houses in 2005, you were hating life in 2009 and you might’ve even been in bankruptcy court, you certainly had foreclosures. It was just an absolute bloodbath. But I don’t think that now is a repeat of that time. We’ve seen a big decline in commercial real estate, but we haven’t seen that decline in residential, and I don’t think that that means that a decline is right around the corner. What I don’t see is I don’t see a 2008 style kind of like residential real estate collapse. That was a specific situation that was tied to crazy lending standards and just runaway enthusiasm in the residential market that all came collapsing in a ball of flames, and we don’t have those same conditions being set up right now for that space. And I don’t think that this is a bad time if you’re concerned about timing the market.

Dave:
Yeah, actually I just did a deep dive into mortgage delinquency rates and what’s going on with credit standards in residential versus commercial because I don’t know how much you’re on social media, Brian, but there’s been a lot of hubbub about delinquency rates over the last couple of weeks. So if you want to understand what Brian’s saying and why credit conditions are very different, if you haven’t yet, go check out the April 3rd episode of on the Market. But Brian, I agree with you. I think for the market to truly crash, you need to have delinquencies, you need to have forced selling. There’s just no evidence of that right now by almost every standard, the American homeowner is paying their mortgages and they’re in a relatively good position to continue servicing their debt. So that’s all on the good side. That said, I do see prices softening. We are seeing inventory pick up, and so you’re saying it’s a good time. I actually kind of think we’re in a nice window here potentially, but what advice would you give to people who want to avoid the catching the falling knife scenario where you buy in a market, it drops one or 2%. Is that something you should really be concerned about? And if so, is there a way to mitigate that or how do you wrap your head around that?

Brian:
Yeah, one or 2% is not a falling knife. Commercial real estate has fallen like 40%. Everybody says 20 because cap rates have decompressed by 20%, but they forget that the income also declined. And when you factor that in commercial real estate’s down like 30 to 40%, that’s a falling knife. Single family homes coming down, one or 2% is a falling fork. I mean, you could literally put your toe under it and it’s not even going to hurt you if you have a shoe on. So put a shoe on and go invest in some single family homes. How do you do that? Well, don’t get a hundred percent financing with negative amortization, floating rate interest loan, go get a 20% down conventional landlord financing with an amortizing loan with a 30 year maturity. So nobody can tell you you have to sell. This is a part of the problem with commercial too, is these loans in commercial come with a maturity date. So
Whatever that maturity date is, you have to do something by that date whether you have to refinance or you have to sell. And if that happens at a time when times are bad, you have a major problem. But in single family, you have this beautiful financing package called the 30 year fully amortizing loan. And what that means is no one can ever tell you you have to sell right now unless you can’t afford to make the payment. And as long as you have enough room in the difference between the payment and the income, you shouldn’t find yourself in that position, especially if you have some cash reserves. So have cash reserves, finance conservatively use fully amortizing debt, not short-term debt, and you’ll be totally fine if the market comes down two or 3%, it’s going to take a while and you have to be patient. I mean, I did this, I bought a house in 1990 and from 1990 to 1997, the price was literally the same. I mean seven years, it didn’t go up at all. And that happens sometimes, but guess what? By 2001, the price had doubled. So that is my time in market theory. Use the time when prices are slacking a little or when price activity is calm, use that period to acquire your assets. Don’t be acquiring those assets when it’s like, Hey everybody, we got to go buy houses. This is the time to buy and everybody I know is buying and then prices are running up, and you’re like, this is great. And it’s like, no, this is terrible. You want to be buying. In times like this, when things are kind of at slack

Dave:
When the mainstream media or the average person thinks it’s a good time to buy real estate, it’s too late. You missed the best buying window already. And it’s not to say that you shouldn’t be careful, as Brian said, there are things that you should do and you should not just go out and buy anything. But this actually is I think, a reasonable time to buy. And I haven’t been doing this as long as you, Brian, but I’ve been doing this for 15 years now, and I tell people that I got started in 2010 and people are always so jealous. They’re like, oh my God, what a great time to buy. And in retrospect it was, but my property value went down for two years after I bought that property. It wasn’t instantly a success, and now I look like a genius, but you have to take a little bit of a risk and have to just give yourself that time to hold onto these properties. And so completely agree what you have to say here, Brian. So we’ve covered a lot. We’ve covered commercial multifamily or smaller multifamily. We’ve covered residential. Brian, tell me just a little bit with all the stuff you just said, doze, you talked about tariffs, you talked about the risk of a recession. What are some of the main indicators, one or two things that you’re going to be watching it is the first day of the second quarter over let’s say Q2 here. What are the main things you’re going to be keeping an eye on?

Brian:
I’m watching for recessionary indicators like new jobs, jobless claims, the consumer price index, those kinds of things, because that seems to be what’s on the mind of the Fed when they’re setting interest rate policy. And I think that there’s a complete disconnect right now between what’s happening in the real world and what’s happening behind the boardroom doors in the Fed when they’re setting interest rate policy.

Speaker 3:
And

Brian:
So rather than paying attention to what they should be paying attention to, I’m paying attention to what they are paying attention to. And I think when you start to see some of these things like recession is getting more evident and there’s more jobless claims, fewer new jobs, then you might start to see some interest rate declines. And that’s going to mean that there’s going to be some opportunity to acquire again. If we don’t see that and we continue to see this robustness where no matter how bad you think the economy should be, it’s still not bad at all, then I think it’s going to be bad for buying assets for a while. It’s going to take a long time for this to catch up. And so I’m trying to monitor those things, even though I feel like they should be kind of irrelevant, they’ve become very relevant and I think you have to pay attention to it.

Dave:
Alright, well Brian, thank you so much for joining us. This was a lot of fun. As usual, we appreciate you being here.

Brian:
It’s my pleasure. Anytime.

Dave:
And thank you all so much for listening to this episode of On The Market for BiggerPockets. I’m Dave Meyer and we’ll see you next time.

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The path to FIRE (financial independence, retire early) isn’t easy. You’re working a lot, saving a lot, all while seeing many of your friends out traveling, buying new cars and bigger homes, leaving you feeling isolated on the path to early retirement. But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are FIRE freaks, just like you, all over the country, and before you quit the path to FIRE and start spending to impress your friends, we have a crucial piece of advice: find your FIRE community!

Mindy and Carl just came back from the EconoMe Conference, a three-day celebration of those chasing financial independence and early retirement, where you can meet new FI friends and rediscover why you’re after FIRE in the first place. But you DON’T have to wait until next year to go to a FIRE event; we’re sharing exactly how to find your FIRE tribe today.

Attending these events was one of the—if not THE—single most impactful parts of Mindy and Carl’s journey to early retirement as they often unlock new FIRE strategies you didn’t know were possible, allow you to grind side-by-side with FIRE-minded people just like you, and give you a sense of strong community that’s behind you EVERY step of the way, even during life after FIRE!

Do NOT skip out on this, or you could risk your FIRE!

Click here to listen on Apple Podcasts.

Listen to the Podcast Here

Read the Transcript Here

Mindy:
Hello, hello, hello my dear listeners, as you may or may not know, my husband Carl and I have a new YouTube series on the BiggerPockets money YouTube channel called Life After Fire. And as a very special bonus, we are going to be airing these episodes here on the podcast on Wednesdays. So without further ado, let’s get into it. Hi there. My name is Mindy Jensen.

Carl:
And I’m Carl Jensen,

Mindy:
And this is the Mindy

Carl:
And Carl

Mindy:
On Life After Fire, where we talk about what happens after you reach financial independence. Why do we call the show Life After Fire? Because we’re talking about and talking to people who are living their best lives after reaching financial independence. Carl and I just returned from the Economy conference in Cincinnati. Diana, Miriam has created an awesome event for 500 attendees with eight main stage speakers, four additional workshops and breakouts in a variety of topics designed to get people talking to other people just like them with similar interests. It was originally planned just for a Saturday and a Sunday, but it has spread into a Thursday pre-party Friday, urban Hike, foing or fouling, which is like football and bowling. I’ve never done that one before. I’ve heard good things, but it just, I don’t know. I’m not very good at bowling, so I don’t think I’d be very good at foing or fouling. How is it pronounced? Carl, do you know how that’s pronounced?

Carl:
I have no clue. I don’t think they even know how it’s pronounced. It was invented by, I think some drunk Ohioans in someone’s basement, maybe a college dorm. No clue.

Mindy:
I don’t think it’s related. It’s just Ohio though. I think it has spread out. Anyway, if I’m pronouncing it wrong, so sorry, email Carl because I’m not going to probably change that. And Friday night is speed friendship, which I really, really love. There’s a bunch of tables that seat like eight people and you sit there and you introduce yourself to eight different people over the course of, I dunno, 15 minutes or something. And then some of you get up and move and some of you stay and it’s all coordinated. I’m glad I don’t have to make up these rules, but you meet a ton of people. I think I went to five or six different tables that night and I met whatever eight times, five or six is, I met a ton of different people and it’s such a great way to start off the event and it ends with a big party at R Geist, enormous tasting room and Beer Garden. Carl, what was your favorite part of the economy conference?

Carl:
Before I get into that, I will state that eight times five is 40 and eight times six is 48. I think you just asked that.

Mindy:
I said I didn’t know what it was. I didn’t say I wanted to know what it was, but thank you for showing me up and being able to do math in your head like that. Carl, for the win,

Carl:
I’ll put outs on multiplication tables after we’re done.

Mindy:
So Carl’s favorite part of economy is the nerd part.

Carl:
It is the skyline. Chilly. I absolutely love it. No, it is actually not that. How long do I have to talk?

Mindy:
What do you mean? How long do you have to talk? Just tell people what your favorite part of economy is.

Carl:
No, no. I got to tell a little story. I might talk for two or three minutes here. When I first discovered financial independence, I think I found the Mr Money Mustache blog, JD Roth, and I thought I would dip in and out of this. I would just read a bunch of blogs, figure out what was wrong with my money, get my money straight up my savings rate, and then I would close my browser tab and I would never read any of these people again or interact with anything that ever had to do with financial independence again. And then somehow I got roped into going to a Camp Phi. I think this is around 20 16 20 17. Camp Fire is a weekend gathering with 59 other people. At the time, it was absolutely terrifying. Did you go to that one or was it just me by myself?

Mindy:
I didn’t go until January of 2018 In Florida?

Carl:
Yes. So that one might’ve been me by myself in the thought of me, a severe introvert hanging out with 59 strangers, absolutely terrified me. But then I got there and I’m like, wow, this is actually pretty cool. I don’t feel like I’m an introvert around these particular subset of people. I feel like we have a lot in common. If you have money stuff in common, you tend to have a lot of other things in common. Plus it’s nice just to be able to talk about money, which most people AB who people steer away from that. It’s like religion and SEX, you don’t want to talk about those, but these people would talk about net worth and their second sentence. So I’m like, this is pretty cool. So I think people go to these conferences with the intention of learning about money and maybe 72 Ts how to get their 401k straight, but then they come out of it with a community and that’s what they return for and that’s why we keep going back to these things.
My god, we discovered all this in 2012 and here we are in 2025 and we’re still going to these. Maybe we’re addicted. So my favorite part back to your original question is the community. It’s meeting new friends and seeing these old friends. A lot of them have become our friends in real life and some of ’em, I feel like our economy friends that we see when we’re Ohio, they haven’t had a chance to come out here yet to visit us in Colorado and we haven’t had a chance to see them. But if I did like Mr. Funicular, John in Pittsburgh, I would definitely look him up if I went to Pittsburgh and I think we’re actually going to meet up here in Colorado. The community is my main takeaway. Having fun people to have good conversations with and spend my time with and have a bowl of Skyline Chili with too Your favorite.

Mindy:
That is not my favorite. Please don’t tell lies about me. You just use that word funicular. What is that?

Carl:
Funicular. It’s a way to get up the mountain. It is a trolley type thing where there are two of them with a big pulley on top. So one goes up, one goes down.

Mindy:
Oh, like an ESUs park.

Carl:
Well, that’s a little bit different. This kind of balances each other out there on rails, so one kind of pulls the other one up.

Mindy:
Oh, that’s okay. Remember when I said that your favorite part was the nerd part? You’re not doing yourself any favors. You’re not proving me wrong here, Mr.

Carl:
Well, there is fun in funicular, so I’m correct here.

Mindy:
For me, it’s the opportunity for so many people to connect in one space, which I guess is very similar to what you are saying for people who might be new to the PHI community or new to in-person PHI events, it’s kind of awe inspiring to see so many frugal weirdos in one space, so many money nerds in one space. Carl, you and I live in Longmont, Colorado, which is absolutely filled with early retirees. You can’t swing a dead cat and not hit three of ’em. At least early retirees and five people all over Longmont. There’s nobody working here at all, and I sometimes forget that not everybody shares in this same community that we have, which is why you and I talk so much about the importance of in-person PHI events. Seeing the speakers on stage is awesome, but at this juncture in our PHI journey, I’m not really there to see the speakers.
I definitely watch all of the presentations because I think they’re really interesting, but they’re not really speaking to me personally. However, they are curated by Diana and they are such a wealth of information over a broad range of topics. It isn’t just eight people getting up there. You should contribute to your 401k, you should contribute to your Roth IRA this year. We had people talking about real estate writing a book for what you’re doing after financial independence. I want to have him on the show actually. He was really quite good. We had people talking about starting a business. Jess from the pioneers was there talking about Coast Fi and how you might be a lot closer to your FI number than you think you are. She has a really awesome calculator that she shared with people to give yourself an idea of what your coast fine number is.
You might already be there, which can be really reassuring for people in this kind of uncertain stock market environment that we’re in right now. The woman who talked about the different ways to invest the socially conscious investing, and when I hear that topic I’m like, oh man, this is just going to make me feel bad. And it was not. This is going to make you feel bad. It was like, Hey, this is the kind of stuff that this fund is investing in. Here’s an alternative fund. Here’s a way to look up your funds. It was a very interesting take on investing and she even had performance for each of these funds to show you that you aren’t sacrificing performance just so you can invest environmentally or more socially consciously, which I think is a really big concern for people in the fire community. It’s one thing to be like, oh, I would love to support all these socially conscious initiatives, but they pay nothing. And it turns out that’s not true. There’s a really great fund, what was it called? ESGV,

Carl:
I don’t think that was it, but it was a Vanguard fund. I know what you’re talking about. And it had outperformed V-T-S-A-X over a long term, which was quite surprising to me

Mindy:
Except in 2022 when it lost slightly more money than V-T-S-A-X did. V-T-S-A-X was down like 19.2% and this one was down like 20% or something. So there wasn’t a big swing either way. But you’re right, they did outperform V-T-S-A-X, which I thought was very interesting. And so there’s just a lot of different topics that you can talk about. Big Earn was there to talk about the safe withdrawal rate. Bill Benen says it’s 4% over 30 years and big earns of mathematician has a lot of numbers to support his scenario saying that it’s more close to 3.25% because your timeline is a lot longer. If you’re an early retiree, lots of different things to think about at this event, but also lots of downtime. You can meet people at the Speed Friendship on Friday and have a really great conversation with them throughout the whole weekend.
There’s lobby parties in all the hotels that people are staying at. It’s such a great event, but it’s 500 people. Carl, you didn’t want to go to campfire with 59 people. I can see how some people might be a little concerned about going to an event like Economy, which is 500 people, in which case you have your campfire, which is a lot smaller in most cases. I think there’s one that’s now up to 150, but a lot of them are 50 people, 60 people, 75 people that you are having a whole weekend with Friday night to Monday morning. That’s a really great option for in-person PHI events. One of the things that I think we take for granted, Carl, is the fact that we have so many people we can talk with about money.

Carl:
Yes, we probably do take that for granted because we are surrounded by them.

Mindy:
Another thing that I want to point out is the Economy Conference is 500 people. Diana’s already sold 350 tickets and that’s all that she has released so far. There’s still 150 tickets left. She has not yet released those. If you want to get on her mailing list, go to economy conference.com, that’s E-C-O-N-O-M-E conference like Economy, not mny economy conference.com and sign up to get on the mailing list. So when she releases those tickets is sure to sell out again. And just having all of these people around you is so beneficial to helping you stay on the financial independence path. Even when you have unexpected expenses, the stock market is going down, you’re feeling like you’re not going anywhere. These people in this community can share your experiences, share what’s worked for them, and it’s just all around a really great environment to be in.

Carl:
Yeah, it’s nice to have other people you relate to. If you tell them you went out and bought a 2008 Honda Element, they’re not going to, I think you’re destitute. They might give you a high five because you found a great deal on an old reliable car that’s going to get you where you need to go. So yeah, we are like a little miniature cult I think.

Mindy:
I don’t think we’re so miniature definitely a cult, but it’s a good cult. We don’t make you sell anything. Dear listeners, we are so excited to announce that we now have a BiggerPockets Money newsletter. If you want to subscribe to the newsletter, please go to biggerpockets.com/money newsletter. Alright, we’ll be right back after this.

Carl:
Welcome back to the show.

Mindy:
Carl. I want to talk a little bit about the concept of in-person FY events in general. We’ve already shared how much we love these events. For us personally, we’ve shared how they can be beneficial to somebody who is at any part of your journey on the PHI path, having other people who speak your language, who aren’t going to be like, oh, why are you saving your money? You don’t know what’s going to happen. I want to live my life now. They’re supportive. They are encouraging, and when you have a question, oh, does anybody know how to do a 72 T? Oh, I don’t. But I know that Eric Cooper does. I know that Darren and Jolene have done them. I know that there are people there that can send you to other people to have conversations with or even introduce you to other people to have conversations with, to get your questions answered. But economy is a rather large event. So for the Carls of the world, the introverts of the world who don’t want to speak with 500 people necessarily, and Carl has a great time. I have to rip him away from people to get him to go to bed so he can wake up the next morning, right? Pretty much, pretty much just say yes. Say yes dear. You’re correct.

Carl:
Affirmative.

Mindy:
That’s not what I said to say. So there is a woman named Stephanie who is from five friends.com, and she has created a list of all the PHI events that she is aware of. If you don’t see your event on there, absolutely let her know so that she can update her list. But her list is found at phi friends.com/events. That’s fi friends.com/events, and it is a fairly comprehensive list. I believe it’s a comprehensive list of all of the upcoming PHI events in 2025. She’ll soon be starting her 2026 list, but we have Fin Talk Scotland Camp, all the Camp phis, camp Mustache, which is a different type of event. It’s similar to Camp Phi, but a little bit different. Camp Phi Spain. The Economy Conference just wrapped up the Fin Talks cruises. I’ve been on that the last two years. You joined me this year.
Carl Kristen Knapp is starting PHI Travel. She has trips planned outside of the country, so there’s lots of opportunities to connect with people here and I hear what you’re saying. Oh, those are great, but those are traveling outside of the country. Those are traveling to different parts of the country and I can’t afford that right now. Well, don’t worry, you are in luck. Choose fi.com/local is a link to all of the local Choose PHI groups, and what makes it so amazing is that these are right near you. So they have a map where you can click on your state and it’ll list all, I’m in Colorado, Colorado Springs, south Denver, north Denver, Western Slope. There are lots of local events near you, and if you can’t find one near you, you could start one. Brad is super open to starting more local events because he wants people to connect. Carl, what is a local choose five meetup? Like?

Carl:
Ooh, I’m trying to think of the last one. It was in Los Angeles actually. I think there was about 15 to 20 people there. They usually meet at a coffee shop or maybe a room in a library, some kind of small business. Usually some of them might have a semi-formal structure like today we’re going to talk about X, Y, and Z. Others do not. You just sit there and talk to people. Maybe half the people there are returnees and maybe a third to the other half are new people that drop in and out. Yeah, very informal. People come and stay for as long as they want, but it’s yet another way to meet new people in the community. The last one I went to, we went to that and then we went to someone’s house and had dinner. So it was very nice. I think it’s a really nice way to connect with people.
If you happen to be in a new city like you’re traveling and maybe you don’t know anyone there yet or just want the insider scoop on wherever you happen to be at. I always ping these groups when I’m there saying, Hey, do you have a meetup going on? Or would anyone like to meet up? And I’ve never had at least some people not volunteer to, Hey, yeah, let’s meet up or let’s do something. So yeah, it’s super nice. I highly recommend that people connect with their local groups, and I know they used to be on Facebook. Brad’s moving that to, they’re moving that to a platform on Choose Fi. But yeah, the local groups are a great way to connect with your local community and people not so local.

Mindy:
Yes, we always try to hop in if we have some time when we are traveling just because it’s a great way to meet other people. But I have been to the NOCO Pistachios group up in the, I don’t think it’s a Choose Phi one, but there’s a No Coist group up north of Denver. There’s a So Coist group south of Denver meetup.com is another great place to find local events that are either have a nominal fee to attend or no fee to attend, and I think most of them have no fee to attend. So signing up and just checking it out, see what’s going on. The worst case is that you get there and there’s either nobody else you want to talk to or nobody shows up, but it’s never been the case when I’m attending an event. I’ve never had somebody like zero people show up. There could be five people there. You get just a more in-depth intimate conversation with five people or there’s 50 people there and you can find people that you want to talk to about the different topics that interest you.

Carl:
The last thing I’ll say in this whole topic is we have such a great community here in Longmont and we’re very welcoming, so if y’all want to move to Longmont or are just passing through, make sure you look us up. We have a meetup group for the MMM coworking space, and we have events there pretty much weekly. We have a potluck, which we’re actually going to tonight. We’re going to see Ryan Brennan, he’s going to be at the HQ and he organizes events where people come and volunteer in their local community. I know this July and Colorado Springs are going to be doing a bunch of trail rehabilitation I think. So he’s passing through. So next time you’re in Longmont, stop in and say hi at the hq.

Mindy:
Yes, we would love to see you and you can email what’s the HQ email address so we can set up a meetup before they get here.

Carl:
It’s HQ [email protected] or they could email one of us, [email protected] or [email protected].

Mindy:
Carl, I think that we have covered how much we love in-person FY events. There are paid FY events, there are free FY events, and if you are feeling stuck on your PHI journey, the next place you should go is a local meetup so that you can connect with other people who are just like you on the path to financial independence, who speak your language, who can share how they got out of a pickle that you might be in, a similar pickle that you might be in, or they can just give you words of encouragement. You can do it. You go, girl, go sir.

Carl:
Or just fun people to share your life with. After you retire, a lot of your friends might still be doing the nine to five thing and you just can’t sit at home watching reruns of I Love Lucy, or whatever the heck reruns are on TV now. You need to have people to go for a hike with or a bike ride or hang out with. And yeah, I’m going for a hike on Thursday with people from our local group.

Mindy:
Oh, well that sounds nice. Thanks for letting me know

Carl:
You’re invited too, I think.

Mindy:
Yeah, I guess so. Now I am. Alright. If you like this video, please click the thumbs up and don’t forget to subscribe to this channel for more videos about Life After Fire. This is Mindy and Carl signing off that wraps up this episode of Life After Fire on the BiggerPockets Money Podcast. He is Carl Jensen. I am Mindy Jensen saying, see you caribou.

 

 

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In This Episode We Cover

  • The #1 way to stay motivated while on the path to financial freedom 
  • The best big and small FIRE events to attend this year and next
  • What to do if you’re introverted and struggle at live events with many people
  • How to find your local FI meetup so you can make new FI friends
  • Want to meet Mindy and Carl in person? We’re sharing how you can!
  • And So Much More!

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